Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction 9/23/2024

The Seattle Mariners (80-76) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (85-71) on Monday, September 23rd. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on None. Both the Mariners and Astros are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.

Mariners vs. Astros Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Astros (-153)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • Astros have won 10 out of their last 15 games, showing strong recent performance.
  • Astros have a home record of 45-33, indicating solid performance at home.
  • Astros have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • Astros have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, indicating good recent form.
  • Astros have won 4 out of their last 5 home games against the Mariners.

Mariners vs Astros

seattle mariners nba

The Astros Took The Last Game Of This Series

Seattle is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 6-5 loss to the Rangers, Cal Raleigh went deep, going 1/3, and the Mariners scored three runs in the 6th inning. However, they couldn’t close things out, and Andrés Muñoz took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mariners were also the -138 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Bryan Woo got the start for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Offensively, the Mariners scored their five runs on eight hits and a homer from Cal Raleigh.

Seattle is 80-76 overall and trails the Astros by five games in the AL West. They are also five games behind the Astros for the AL West lead. The Mariners kick off their series vs. the Astros on the road, and they are 34-44 on the road this season. The Mariners have an over/under record of 21-23 when the total line is set at 7.5 runs this season. Their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game, and the over has hit in their last three games.

As the favorite, the Mariners are 58-48 this year, and they are 22-28 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 21-24-4, and their run line record is 67-89. Seattle’s average run margin in winning games is 3.6, while it is -3.1 in losing games.

Bryce Miller Gets The Start For The Mariners

Right-hander Bryce Miller gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 11-8 with an ERA of 3.06. Miller’s WHIP for the season is currently .99, and opponents are batting .199 this season. In his 30 appearances, Miller has turned in 17 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Miller finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in six innings of work. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing. Miller has not lost back-to-back starts since mid-August.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season in terms of batting average and are also averaging the most strikeouts per game in the league. However, they have been good at drawing walks and are 12th in the league in on-base percentage. The Mariners are also 11th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.1 runs per game.

Julio Rodríguez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/34 in his last seven games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .272 with 19 homers. Cal Raleigh has a team-high 31 homers but is batting just .214 for the season.

The Astros Took The Last Game Of This Series

Houston closed out their series vs. the Angels with a 9-8 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the heavy favorite at -272. Things looked good for the Astros early on, as they got on the board with three runs in the 3rd inning but the Angels responded with two runs in the 4th to tie things up. Houston’s offense scored another three runs in the 5th to take the lead but couldn’t close things out, as the Astros allowed four runs in the top of the 9th to take the loss.

Spencer Arrighetti put together a good start for the Astros, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out six. However, the Astros couldn’t close things out, and Josh Hader took the loss out of the bullpen. The Astros also wasted a big game from Alex Bregman, who went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are 85-71 and hold a five-game lead over the Mariners in the AL West. They are 45-33 at home this season and have a 27-20-2 series record. Houston is 7-3 in their last 10 games and 3-1 in their most recent series vs. the Angels.

When favored, the Astros have a 66-50 straight-up record and are 42-28 at home. Against the run line, they are 55-61 as the favorite and 43-35 on the road. The over/under line for today’s game is 7.5 runs, and the Astros’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season.

Hunter Brown Gets The Start For The Astros

Hunter Brown gets the start for the Astros today vs. the Mariners and comes in with a record of 11-8 and ERA of 3.57. In 29 starts, he has pitched 164 innings and turned in 18 quality starts. Brown’s ERA at home is 3.69, and he has a record of 5-4 at home. The right-hander has done most of his damage on the road, coming in with an ERA of 10.59 and a record of 6-4. In his last outing, Brown finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight starts.

Astros Offense Breakdown

houston astros

Yordan Alvarez has been a key run producer for the Astros this season, leading the team with 86 RBIs while also being among the league leaders with 35 home runs. Alvarez is batting .308 for the season, and his 35 homers are the most on the team. Jose Altuve is also having a strong season, batting .295 with 20 homers. Alex Bregman is 3rd on the team with 73 RBIs and has gone deep 25 times.

Over their last eight games, Kyle Tucker has been on fire, going 12/26 with three homers and eight runs scored. This has pushed his season average up to .270. The Astros come into the game with a team batting average of .263 and are averaging 4.6 runs per game.

Mariners vs Astros Prediction

Our prediction for this Mariners vs. Astros matchup is that the Astros will pick up a 6-5 win at home. With the money line sitting at -153, this is the best way to go, as the payout is a lot better than the payout for the Astros on the run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Hunter Brown is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters. As for the Mariners’ Bryce Miller, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the second lowest.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.