Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction 7/9/2024

The Seattle Mariners (49-43) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (49-45) on Tuesday, July 9th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on MLBN. Both the Mariners and Padres are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Mariners vs. Padres Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Padres (+120)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • Padres have won 8 out of their last 15 games, showing a positive trend in recent performance.
  • Padres have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game in their last 15 games, indicating strong offensive output.
  • Padres have won 6 out of their last 8 home games, demonstrating a strong home-field advantage.
  • Padres have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 15 games, showing effective run differential.
  • Padres have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, compared to the Mariners’ 4-6 record, indicating better recent form.

Mariners vs Padres

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The Padres Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Mariners will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Blue Jays scored three runs in the top of the 7th. Seattle was the -147 favorite at home going into the game.

George Kirby put together a good start for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up just three earned runs, and striking out eight. However, the Mariners couldnjson’t close things out, and Collin Snider took the loss out of the bullpen. Mitch Garver had a big game at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.

Seattle is 4-6 in their last 10 games and have lost six straight series coming into today’s game. They lead the AL West by two games over the Astros with a 49-43 record. The Mariners are 31-24 when favored and have a 13-14-2 series record.

Against the run line, Seattle is 41-51 this season and they have a 21-34 record as favorites. Their games have averaged 7.6 runs per game and the over has hit in 38 of their 87 games. Today’s O/U line of 8 runs is higher than usual, as 62% of their games have had lower totals.

Logan Gilbert Gets The Start For The Mariners

Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today as he faces the Padres on the road. Gilbert has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 5-5. His ERA is 2.91, along with a WHIP of .92. Gilbert’s last outing came against the Orioles, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts and didn’t give up a run in either outing. One of those outings was an eight-inning gem against the Marlins. Per nine innings, Gilbert is averaging 8.26 strikeouts and just 1.84 walks.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Mariners have been one of the worst offensive teams in the league, averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 27th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.6 runs per contest. The team’s batting average of .217 is the worst in the league, and they are also last in the league in strikeouts per game.

Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ top power threat this season, as his 15 homers leads the team and is 12th in the league. However, he is batting just .203. Julio Rodriguez is hitting .247 this season and is 2nd on the team with eight homers. Mitch Garver has also been a disappointment in terms of batting average, hitting just .179, but he has two homers in his last five games and has gone 5/19 in that stretch.

The Padres Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 9-1 loss. San Diego was the heavy favorite at -173 going into the game but fell behind early, as the Diamondbacks scored a run in the 1st inning. Things really got away from the Padres in the 4th, as the Diamondbacks scored five runs in the inning. San Diego’s offense scored their only run in the 1st but didn’t have another hit until the 4th.

Dylan Cease had a rough outing, giving up three earned runs on five hits and issuing a walk. He also hit a batter and took the loss. The Padres’s offense was carried by Jurickson Profar, who went 1/2 with a homer.

San Diego is 49-45 overall and 2nd in the NL West, 7.5 games behind the Dodgers. They are 15-17 in divisional games and have a 6-4 record in their last ten. The Padres have a 17-11-3 series record this season.

On the run line, the Padres are 49-45, and the over/under record is 51-42. When the total is 8 runs, their O/U record is 7-8-1. The over has hit in three straight games, and 42.6% of their games have had higher totals than today’s 8 runs.

Adam Mazur Gets The Start For The Padres

San Diego is sending Adam Mazur to the mound today vs. the Mariners, and he has made six starts this season. Mazur’s record for the year is 1-2, and his ERA is 7.52. Looking at his home/away splits, Mazur has an ERA of 12.33 at home compared to 5.14 on the road. He has made one quality start this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. In that outing, he gave up a homer. Mazur’s ERA in his last three outings is 12.33, 5.14, and 12.33.

Padres Offense Breakdown

san diego padres

Profar has been on a tear of late for the Padres, as he is hitting .320 over his last seven games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .315 with 14 home runs, which is the best mark on the team and 13th in the league. His 59 RBIs are also 10th in the MLB. Overall, the Padres have three players who have gone deep 12 times this season, including Jake Cronenworth and Manny Machado.

As a team, the Padres are 2nd in the league in batting average and are averaging 4.6 runs per game. They are also one of the best home run hitting teams in the league and have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league. The Padres are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging.

Mariners vs Padres Prediction

With the Padres coming in at +120 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted score is 5-4 in favor of the Padres, meaning you could also look to take the over at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Logan Gilbert is predicted to finish with five strikeouts, which is seventh worst among today’s starters. As for Adam Mazur, he is predicted to finish with five strikeouts as well, putting him in the middle of the pack.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.