The St. Louis Cardinals (57-54) travel to face off against the Chicago Cubs (54-59) on Sunday, August 4th. This game will be played at Wrigley Field in Chicago and televised on ESPN. The Cardinals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cubs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Cardinals (+128)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Cardinals have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games, showing strong offensive potential.
- In the last 15 games, the Cardinals have won 3 out of 4 games when scoring 5 or more runs against the Cubs.
- The Cardinals have a winning record on the road against the Cubs this season, with 3 wins and 1 loss.
- In their last 15 games, the Cardinals have a higher average runs scored per game (4.8) compared to the Cubs (3.6).
- The Cardinals have won 4 out of their last 6 games when playing away, indicating good recent form on the road.
Cardinals vs Cubs
St. Louis picked up a 5-4 road win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a three-run 8th inning and then held on for the win as the Cubs went scoreless in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were at -107 on the money line.
Kyle Gibson got the start for the Cardinals, going seven innings and giving up four runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. JoJo Romero got the win out of the bullpen, and Ryan Helsley got the save.
Jameson Taillon only went six innings for the Cubs but gave up just one run on six hits. He finished the game with four strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Hector Neris took the loss.
St. Louis is 57-54 overall and 5.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. They have dropped six of their last ten games and are losing their current series vs. the Cubs, two games to one. The Cardinals are 29-25 at home and 28-29 on the road this season.
On the run line, the Cardinals have a 56-55 record and an average run differential of -0.3 runs per game. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs, and when the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in 27 of 41 games. Heading into today’s game, their games have gone over in six straight.
Miles Mikolas Gets The Start For The Cardinals
Right-hander Miles Mikolas is starting for the Cardinals today as he faces the Cubs on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 8-8 with an ERA of 5.00. Looking at his overall numbers, Mikolas has a WHIP of 1.23 and has turned in 13 quality starts. In his 22 appearances, Mikolas has a batting average allowed of .273. The last time he took the mound, Mikolas finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. He did come out of that game with seven strikeouts. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
Cardinals Offense Breakdown
Over the past 10 games, Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot bat for the Cardinals, hitting .316 with three homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .234, but his 17 homers are the 2nd most on the team. Alec Burleson has been the Cardinals’ top power threat this season, as his 19 homers are the best on the team and 13th most in the league. He also comes into the game with a team-high 64 RBIs.
St. Louis comes into the game with the league’s 17th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 11th in the league. The Cardinals have been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as their 8 strikeouts per game is the 13th best mark in the league.
Chicago’s over/under record for games with a total of 8.5 runs is 14-13 this season, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. The over has hit in four straight games for the Cubs, who have a run line record of 41-20 as underdogs.
The Cubs are 5th in the NL Central with a 54-59 record, 9.5 games behind the Reds for 4th place. They are 29-26 at home and 25-33 on the road this season. Overall, Chicago has a losing record against the run line, but they are profitable on the road, where they are 34-24.
Justin Steele Gets The Start For The Cubs
Left-hander Justin Steele gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Cardinals at home. Steele has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 2-5 with a 3.38 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .219 this season. Steele’s last outing came on July 30th, where he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had put together two straight starts where he allowed two earned runs. The Cubs will be hoping he can get back to that form today.
Cubs Offense Breakdown
Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.2 runs per game, which is 23rd in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 4 runs per contest. The Cubs are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.
Seiya Suzuki and Isaac Paredes are tied for 2nd on the team with 16 homers, while Ian Happ has a team-high 17 homers, which is 15th in the league. Happ also leads the Cubs with 62 RBIs, and his batting average of .228 is the best among Chicago’s regulars. Over his last nine games, Happ is just 3/29. Suzuki has been hot of late, going 12/35 with two homers in this stretch.
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction
Getting the Cardinals at +128 on the money line is a great value pick for today’s Cardinals vs. Cubs matchup. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Cardinals, giving us a good amount of value with the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Miles Mikolas going six innings and finishing with four strikeouts. As for Justin Steele, we have him going just five innings and ending the game with five K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 4, 2024 Cardinals, Cubs