The Tampa Bay Rays (69-72) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (82-60) on Saturday, September 7th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.
Rays vs. Orioles Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-185)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Orioles have won 6 out of their last 10 games.
- The Orioles have a strong home record with 42 wins and 31 losses.
- In their last 15 games, the Orioles have scored 9 or more runs in 4 games.
- The Orioles have won 3 out of their last 4 home games against the Rays.
- The Orioles are currently ranked 1st in the AL East, while the Rays are 4th.
Rays vs Orioles
Baltimore picked up a 2-0 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had just two more hits than the Rays and struck out 12 times, but still picked up a win thanks to a good outing from Dean Kremer, who went six innings and didn’t give up a run.
Shane Baz started for the Rays and gave up just one run in six innings of work. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks. Tampa Bay’s offense was held in check, as they had just two hits and didn’t score a run.
Gunnar Henderson was the difference for the Orioles, as he homered and scored both of their runs. He finished the game 2/4 with an RBI. Baltimore’s other three hits all came from different players.
After dropping two straight games, the Rays are 69-72 overall this season and 12.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. They have a 17-24 record in divisional games. The Rays’ run line record on the road is 37-29, contributing to their 71-70 overall run line record with an average margin of -0.4 runs.
When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Rays have a 16-18-1 O/U record. This season, 46 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 32.6% of their games.
Ryan Pepiot Gets The Start For The Rays
Ryan Pepiot gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-6 with a 3.76 ERA. Pepiot’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. Looking back at his last outing, Pepiot finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One issue for Pepiot has been the long ball, as he has allowed 15 homers this year. The right-hander has a total of eight quality starts this season.
Rays Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Rays are 28th in the league in scoring, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. This lack of scoring is at least partially due to the fact that they are near the bottom of the league in both home runs and batting average. However, they do have the 8th most walks in the league and have been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts.
Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ top hitter this season, batting .275 with 13 home runs and a team-leading 62 RBIs. Christopher Morel has gone deep 21 times this season but is batting just .197. Morel is currently on a three-game hitting streak, and Jonny DeLuca has gone 6/19 in his last five games.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs for the Orioles’ game vs. the Rays is in line with their season average of 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record this season is 76-55, with 61.3% of their games going over when the total is set above 8 runs.
Baltimore’s overall record is 82-60, giving them a half-game lead over the Yankees in the AL East. They have a 29-15 record in divisional matchups and a run line record of 78-64, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs in their wins.
Zach Eflin Gets The Start For The Orioles
Zach Eflin gets the start for the Orioles today and is coming off a strong outing vs. the Rockies. In that September 1st start, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Looking back over his last four starts, Eflin has picked up the win in each outing. Eflin’s overall record is 10-7, and he has an ERA of 3.60. Opponents are batting .251 off the right-hander this season. Eflin has made 24 starts, 11 of which were quality starts. His ERA at home is 2.52 compared to 4.61 on the road.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
Not only are the Orioles the league’s top power-hitting team, but they are also one of the top run-scoring teams in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. Baltimore has been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 7th in the league, and have the top slugging percentage in the league.
Gunnar Henderson has been one of the Orioles’ top power threats this season, as he is 2nd on the team with 36 homers and is batting .282. He has been even better of late, going 10/23 in his last six games with three homers. Henderson also comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak. Anthony Santander has also been a big power threat for the Orioles, as he is 3rd in the league with 39 homers.
Rays vs Orioles Prediction
We do see the Orioles picking up a win in this one, and with the money line payout, sitting at -185, there is some value there. However, our recommended bet is to take the over, as we have this one finishing with a combined 10 runs, and with the line sitting at 8, there is some room here.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Zach Eflin finishing with six strikeouts compared to Ryan Pepiot with just four. Eflin is also projected to go deeper into the game, and if you’re looking for a starting pitcher to pick up the win, Eflin has the better odds.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 7, 2024 Orioles, Rays