Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 9/27/2024

The Tampa Bay Rays (78-81) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (80-79) on Friday, September 27th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on NESN. Both the Rays and Red Sox are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (-133)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Red Sox have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 15 home games.
  • In their last 15 games, the Red Sox have a winning record of 8-7, while the Rays have a losing record of 5-10.
  • The Red Sox have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • In their last 3 head-to-head games against the Rays, the Red Sox have outscored them 10-11, showing competitive performance.
  • The Red Sox have a higher home win percentage (.474) compared to the Rays’ away win percentage (.462) this season.

Rays vs Red Sox

tampa bay rays nba

The Red Sox Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Tigers with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Tigers scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. Tampa Bay was the +135 underdog on the road going into this game.

Tyler Alexander put together a good start for the Rays, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out six Tigers batters. However, the Rays’ bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and Garrett Cleavinger took the loss out of the bullpen. The Rays also wasted a big game from Taylor Walls, who went 2/3 with two runs scored.

As the underdog, the Rays have a 41-50 straight-up record this season, and their run line record as the underdog is 58-33. Overall, the Rays have gone over the total in 66 of their 150 games this season. Their average run total in road games is 7.9, and the over/under record in games with an 8-run total line is 17-24-2.

Tampa Bay enters this game having lost three straight and are two games behind the Red Sox in the AL East standings. Their overall series record this season is 23-20-7, and they have a 78-81 record, which is two games under .500.

Taj Bradley Gets The Start For The Rays

Taj Bradley gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. So far this season, he has made 24 starts and has a record of 7-11 with an ERA of 4.29. Bradley’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25, and opponents are batting .237 off him this year. In his 24 starts, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 10.02 strikeouts per nine innings. Bradley’s most recent outing came on September 21st, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.

Rays Offense Breakdown

Yandy Diaz has been a bright spot in the Rays lineup this season, as he is batting .282 with a team-leading 65 RBIs and 14 homers. Brandon Lowe and Christopher Morel are also tied for the team lead in homers, but Lowe is batting just .242, and Morel is hitting just .194. Lowe has gone 10/40 in his last 10 games, with three homers and seven RBIs.

As a team, the Rays are 29th in the MLB in runs scored, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. This is also their average on the road and at home. Overall, they are batting just .230 and have the league’s 23rd best OPS at .670.

The Red Sox Took The Last Game Of This Series

Boston closed out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 6-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the +113 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Blue Jays scored twice in the bottom of the first.

Richard Fitts got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. Jarren Duran was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored. The Red Sox’s other run came from Nick Sogard, who also went 2/4.

As the favorite, Boston has a 41-35 record this season, and they are currently on a two-game series win streak. Overall, 66.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s total of 8 runs. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 15-11-3 when the total is set at 8 runs.

Today, the Red Sox are 37-41 at home and 43-38 on the road. They have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 25-19-6. In the AL East, Boston trails the Yankees by 13 games with an 80-79 record.

Nick Pivetta Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Nick Pivetta gets the start for the Red Sox today vs. the Rays and will look to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing vs. the Twins, he picked up the win. Looking back over his last four outings, Pivetta has given up no more than one earned run in three of them. For the season, he has a record of 6-11 and an ERA of 4.21. Opponents are batting .228 off the right-hander this season. Pivetta has made 25 starts, 10 of which were quality starts.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

boston red sox

So far this season, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .253, which is the 6th best mark in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging. Boston’s offense has been tough to strike out, as they are 27th in the league in strikeouts.

Jarren Duran has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/33 in his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .286 with 21 homers. Duran’s 75 RBIs are the 2nd most on the team. Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top run producer this season, with 83 RBIs to go along with his 28 homers.

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction

Our prediction for this one is that the Red Sox will pick up the win over the Rays, and with the money line payout for the Red Sox sitting at -133, that is the way we recommend playing this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nick Pivetta finishing with seven strikeouts, which would have him finishing fifth among starters. As for the Rays starter, Taj Bradley, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts as well.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.