The Tampa Bay Rays (80-81) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (80-81) on Sunday, September 29th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on BSSUN. The Rays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rays. First pitch is set for 2:05 CT.

Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (-105)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs

• The Red Sox have a 5-2 record in their last 7 home games, showing strong recent performance at Fenway Park.
• In their last 15 games, the Red Sox have scored 5 or more runs in 7 games, indicating a potent offense.
• Boston has won 3 out of their last 4 home games against the Rays, demonstrating success in recent head-to-head matchups at home.
• The Red Sox have a higher league rank in home wins (37) compared to the Rays’ away wins (38), suggesting a home-field advantage.
• Boston has outscored their opponents by a total of 19 runs in their last 5 home wins, highlighting their ability to dominate games offensively.

Rays vs Red Sox

Tampa Bay cruised to a 7-2 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their only two runs in the 1st. Heading into the game, the Rays were at +101 on the money line.

Shane Baz started for the Rays and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. Kutter Crawford got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss, going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up six earned runs.

At the plate, the Rays were led by Junior Caminero and Brandon Lowe, as they were the only two Rays hitters to have more than one hit. Caminero also hit the game’s only home run. For the Red Sox, Triston Casas hit a home run and went 1/4.

Currently, the Rays are 80-81 overall and trail the Yankees by 13 games in the AL East. They are 3rd in the division and have a 26-25 record against other AL East teams. Tampa Bay has won two straight games and leads the series vs. the Red Sox 2-0.

On the run line, the Rays are 84-77 this season, including a 47-33 record on the road. Their games have averaged 7.8 runs per game, and the over/under record for the season is 67-85. The average run margin in their wins is +2.7, while it is -3.4 in their losses.

Ryan Pepiot Gets The Start For The Rays

Ryan Pepiot gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.64 ERA. Pepiot’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14, and opponents are batting .205 off the right-hander this year. In his last outing, Pepiot took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had put together three straight outings without taking the loss. Pepiot has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 9.79 strikeouts per nine innings.

Rays Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Rays are 29th in the MLB in runs scored at just 3.7 runs per game. This is also where they are at in terms of home runs, as they have just 147 home runs this season. As a team, they are batting just .230, which is 20th in the league. Tampa Bay’s team on-base percentage is just .302, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.

Yandy Diaz is leading the Rays in batting average this season at .281, and he also has 14 home runs. Brandon Lowe and Christopher Morel are tied for the team lead in homers with 21, but Morel is batting just .194 for the season. Lowe has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/29 in his last seven games with two homers and four RBIs.

So far this season, the Red Sox have an over/under record of 25-17 when the total line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, leading to an overall over/under record of 79-74. Against the run line, Boston is 48-35 as underdogs and 28-50 as favorites, with an overall run line record of 76-85.

Boston is currently 13 games behind the Yankees in the AL East and are tied with the Rays for 4th place in the division. They have lost three straight games and the first two games of the series against Tampa Bay. The Red Sox’s overall record this season is 80-81.

Quinn Priester Gets The Start For The Red Sox

The Red Sox are starting right-hander Quinn Priester today, and he comes into the game with a record of 2-6 and an ERA of 5.04. Priester has made 10 appearances this year and has turned in two quality starts. His most recent outing came on July 27th, where he took the loss after giving up five earned runs out of the bullpen. Before that, he had won two straight outings. Priester’s WHIP for the season is 1.46, and opponents are batting .277 off him this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.25 strikeouts and 2.62 walks.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Red Sox are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .252, which is the 5th best mark in the MLB. Boston’s lineup has been tough to strike out, as they are 28th in the league in strikeouts.

Over the team’s last eight games, Jarren Duran has gone 10/33 with six runs scored. For the season, he is batting .285 and is 3rd on the team with 21 homers. Rafael Devers is the team’s top home run hitter, with 28 long balls, and he is also leading the team with 83 RBIs. Devers is batting .272 for the season.

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction

With the Red Sox sitting at -105 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick, as our predicted score is 5-4 in favor of the Red Sox. As for the Rays, they are on the road, and their money line odds are sitting at -115.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Quinn Priester finishing with four strikeouts compared to Ryan Pepiot with six. However, we have Priester going for just five innings, while Pepiot should be able to go for five.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.