Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 10/12/2024

The Detroit Tigers (86-76) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) on Saturday, October 12th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on None. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 12:08 CT.

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Tigers (-120)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 6 Runs
  • The Tigers have won 7 of their last 10 games, showcasing strong recent form.
  • In their last 15 games, the Tigers have scored 4 or more runs in 10 games, indicating consistent offensive production.
  • Detroit has a winning record on the road, with 43 wins and 38 losses, demonstrating their ability to perform well away from home.
  • In their last 5 away games against the Guardians, the Tigers have won 3, showing a favorable recent head-to-head performance.
  • The Tigers have outscored their opponents by a total of 15 runs in their last 5 wins, indicating effective run production and game control.

Tigers vs Guardians

detroit tigers nba

Cleveland picked up a 5-4 road win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a two-run lead heading into the 9th inning, and the Tigers could only muster one run in their half of the 9th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -124 on the money line.

Tanner Bibee got the start for Cleveland, going just four innings while giving up two runs and striking out three. Hunter Gaddis got the win out of the bullpen, and Emmanuel Clase got the save. Reese Olson only went four innings for the Tigers, giving up one run on five hits.

At the plate, Zach McKinstry and Wenceel Perez each had two hits and an RBI for Detroit. Riley Greene also had a two-hit game and scored a run. For Cleveland, David Fry went 1/1 with a home run and three RBIs.

Facing a must-win game on the road, the Tigers will look to snap their two-game losing streak and keep their playoff hopes alive. Detroit finished the regular season with a 43-38 record both at home and on the road, and they went 41-26 as the favorite and 49-52 as the underdog.

Detroit posted a 91-77 run line record this season, with a +0.4 average run margin on the road and +0.1 at home. They went 54-31 against the run line on the road. The Tigers’ over/under record is 79-83, and today’s line of 6 runs is well below their season average of 8.1 runs.

Tarik Skubal Gets The Start For The Tigers

Detroit is sending out left-hander Tarik Skubal to face the Guardians today. Skubal has made 31 starts this year and has a record of 18-4 with an ERA of 2.39. So far, he has made 22 quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that start vs. the Guardians, he went seven innings, gave up three hits, and issued zero walks. Skubal has won each of his last three starts. At home, his ERA is 2.02 compared to 2.73 on the road.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .234, and their on-base percentage of .300 is also near the bottom of the league. Detroit is also just 19th in home runs this season.

Kerry Carpenter has been the Tigers’ best hitter this season, with a batting average of .284 and 18 home runs. However, he has hit just .217 over his last eight games. Riley Greene has been the team’s most consistent run producer, as he is batting .262 with 24 homers and 74 RBIs. Colt Keith comes into the game with 13 homers and a batting average of .260.

Facing a must-win game against Detroit, Cleveland looks to snap a two-game losing streak. The Guardians finished the regular season with a 92-69 record, including a strong 50-30 mark at home and a 42-39 record on the road. As favorites, they went 66-37, while posting a 28-34 record as underdogs.

Today’s over/under line of 6 runs is notably low for a Guardians game, as 101.9% of their matchups had higher totals this season. Cleveland’s over/under record is 69-84, and they have a run line record of 83-82.

Matthew Boyd Gets The Start For The Guardians

Left-hander Matthew Boyd gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces off against the Tigers. Boyd has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 2.72. So far, he has made three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that start vs. the Tigers, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up four hits and two walks. Boyd’s WHIP for the season is 1.13, and opponents are batting .204 off him this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.44 strikeouts and 2.95 walks.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

cleveland guardians

Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top home run hitters this season, as his 39 homers is 5th best in the MLB. He is also 3rd in the league with 118 RBIs. Ramirez has been hot of late, hitting .321 over his last eight games, including three homers during that stretch. Josh Naylor has also been swinging the bat well for the Guardians, going 10/21 in his last six games and is currently on a five-game hitting streak.

For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 11th in the league in home runs. As a team, they are batting just .238, which is 14th in the league, and have the worst BABIP in the league. Cleveland is also near the bottom of the league in both on-base percentage and walks.

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction

The best bet for this Tigers vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Tigers on the money line, with the payout sitting at -120. We actually have the Tigers winning this game by a score of 3-2, which means you could also look to take the under, as the line is sitting at 6 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tarik Skubal finishing with six strikeouts compared to Matthew Boyd with five. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could look to take the over on Skubal’s strikeout total.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.