Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Twins vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 7/10/2024

The Minnesota Twins (52-39) travel to face off against the Chicago White Sox (26-67) on Wednesday, July 10th. This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago and televised on MLBN. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the White Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 1:10 CT.

Twins vs. White Sox Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Twins (-162)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Twins have won 10 of their last 15 games.
  • The Twins have scored 8 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
  • The Twins have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games.
  • The Twins have won their last 3 games against the White Sox, scoring an average of 8 runs per game.
  • The White Sox have lost 6 of their last 10 games.

Twins vs White Sox

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It was a high-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs White Sox series. Minnesota went into the matchup as -214 favorites and squeaked out an 8-6 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the White Sox could only muster one more run until breaking out for three in the 6th. As for the Twins, they scored four of their eight runs in the 7th and 8th innings.

Chris Paddack got the start for the Twins, going just five innings while giving up two runs and striking out three. Jhoan Duran got the win out of the bullpen, and Kody Funderburk got the save. Jared Shuster had a rough outing for the White Sox, taking the loss.

Minnesota’s offense was led by Matt Wallner and Byron Buxton, as they were the only two Twins hitters to have more than one hit. Wallner, Carlos Correa, Trevor Larnach, and Brooks Lee each homered for Minnesota.

Minnesota has been on a roll, winning five straight series and three consecutive games overall. They are 52-39 this season and trail the Guardians by 5.5 games in the AL Central. The Twins have an impressive 20-7 record as the road favorite and are 25-21 on the road this season.

For the season, the Twins games have averaged 9.4 runs, with 46 of their 89 games going over the total. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their O/U record is 12-14. Minnesota’s run line record on the road is 26-20, and they have covered the run line in six straight road games.

Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins

Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the White Sox on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 8-4 with a 4.12 ERA. Opponents are batting .228 off Ober this season, and his WHIP is 1.10. Ober’s most recent outing came on July 4th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three runs on seven hits. He has won his last three starts and has a total of eight quality starts this season. Per nine innings, Ober is averaging 9.57 strikeouts compared to just 2.2 walks.

Twins Offense Breakdown

Carlos Correa and Carlos Santana are both in the top 15 in the league in home runs this season. Correa is batting .303 overall but has hit just .231 over his last seven games, with three homers in that stretch. Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Correa are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 46, and Jeffers has also gone deep 14 times this season.

Jose Miranda has been on fire for the Twins of late, going 16/25 over his last seven games with a home run and six RBIs. He is also on a 12-game hitting streak. As a team, the Twins are 3rd in scoring at 5 runs per game and are 5th in home runs.

Chicago has struggled this season, especially at home, where they have a 16-30 record. Overall, they are 26-67 and are currently on a three-game losing streak. As underdogs, the White Sox have a 21-65 record, but as favorites, they are 5-2.

Against the run line, the White Sox are 42-51, with a -1.8 run differential per game. Their over/under record for games with a total of 8.5 runs is 11-10, and their season over/under record is 43-46.

Erick Fedde Gets The Start For The White Sox

White Sox starter Erick Fedde has made 18 appearances this season and has a record of 6-3. His ERA for the season is 3.13, along with a WHIP of 1.13. Fedde’s last outing came on July 3rd vs. the Guardians, where he picked up the win. In that start, he went six innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking back further, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts before that outing. Opponents are batting .225 off Fedde this season, and he has a total of nine quality starts.

White Sox Offense Breakdown

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Heading into today’s game, the White Sox are hoping that Andrew Vaughn and Paul DeJong can continue to provide some pop in the lineup, as they are the team’s top home run hitters for the season. DeJong is also 2nd on the team in RBIs, while Vaughn leads the team with 43 runs batted in. Vaughn has gone deep 11 times this season and is batting .241, while DeJong comes in with a batting average of .229.

Chicago’s offense comes in averaging just 3.2 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, with Lenyn Sosa batting .361 over his last eight games, and Martín Maldonado and Andrew Vaughn each having homered twice in their last five and seven games, respectively.

Twins vs White Sox Prediction

The best bet for today’s Twins vs. White Sox matchup is to take the over at 8.5 runs. We see the Twins picking up a 5-4 road win, but with the payout on the money line being -162, we see the better value coming with the over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Bailey Ober going seven innings for the Twins and Erick Fedde going six for the White Sox. However, we have Fedde finishing with more strikeouts than Ober, with Fedde projected to finish with six K’s.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.