Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Twins vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 9/7/2024

The Minnesota Twins (76-65) travel to face off against the Kansas City Royals (77-65) on Saturday, September 7th. This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City and televised on FOX. The Royals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Royals. First pitch is set for 6:15 CT.

Twins vs. Royals Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Royals (+120)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Royals have scored an average of 4.8 runs per game in their last 15 games, compared to the Twins’ 3.6 runs per game in the same period.
  • Kansas City has a 6-4 record in their last 10 home games, indicating strong recent performance at home.
  • The Royals have won 3 out of their last 4 home games against the Twins, showing a favorable head-to-head trend.
  • In the last 15 games, the Royals have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games, demonstrating consistent offensive production.
  • The Royals have a higher league rank in home wins (43) compared to the Twins’ away wins (37), suggesting a home-field advantage.

Twins vs Royals

minnesota twins nba

Thanks to a six-inning, four-hit performance from Cole Ragans, the Royals cruised to a 5-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -141 on the money line.

Ragans finished the game with seven strikeouts and didn’t give up a run or a home run. He issued just one walk and got the Twins to hit into three double plays. On the other side, Zebby Matthews had a rough outing for Minnesota, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.

Kansas City got to Matthews early, scoring four of their five runs in the first two innings. As for the Twins, they had their best scoring chance in the 5th, loading the bases with no outs, but could only push across two runs.

Minnesota has an overall record of 24-16-4 in this series. They are 37-35 on the road and have an average run margin of +0.3 for the season. The Twins have a 66-75 record on the run line, including 23-21 as underdogs.

The Twins are 4-6 in their last 10 games and trail the Guardians by five games in the AL Central. As favorites, they are 60-37 overall and 28-14 on the road. This season, 39.0% of their games have had over/under lines of 8 runs, resulting in a 12-17-4 O/U record.

Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins

Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Royals on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 3.95. Opposing batters are hitting .207 off Ober this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.02. Ober’s last outing came on September 1st vs. the Blue Jays, where he finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he went six innings and gave up one earned run on three hits. The right-hander has made 16 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.43 strikeouts per nine innings.

Twins Offense Breakdown

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are tied for the team lead with 20 homers this season, with Santana also leading the Twins with 60 RBIs. However, Santana has hit just .236 this season and has gone 7/32 in his last 10 games. Jeffers is also batting just .237 this season. Byron Buxton is batting .275 for the Twins and is 2nd on the team with 16 homers.

As a team, the Twins are 8th in batting average and 11th in runs scored, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Collectively, the Twins have the 5th best isolated power figure in the league.

With a 77-65 record, the Royals are 4.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central and have won two straight games. Their run line record stands at 78-64, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game when they win.

At home, Kansas City is 41-32 vs. the run line, and their over/under record for the season is 64-73. The over has hit in 62% of their games with totals higher than today’s line of 8 runs, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.

Alec Marsh Gets The Start For The Royals

Kansas City is starting right-hander Alec Marsh today vs. the Twins. He has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 7-8 with a 4.70 ERA. Marsh’s WHIP for the season is 1.24, and opponents are batting .242 off him this year. In his 22 appearances, Marsh has turned in five quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Marsh took the loss vs. the Astros, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone 4 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run. Marsh has allowed at least one homer in four straight outings.

Royals Offense Breakdown

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For the season, the Royals are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is good for 9th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 5th best mark in the league, and are also the league’s 2nd toughest team to strike out against. Kansas City’s team on-base percentage is 13th in the league, and they have the 9th best slugging percentage in the MLB.

Over his last seven games, Bobby Witt Jr. has gone just 5/26, but he does have two homers in that stretch. For the season, he is batting .337 with 30 homers and 97 RBIs. Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino are also near the top of the league in RBIs, as they are also sitting with 97 RBIs.

Twins vs Royals Prediction

We see the Royals taking this one at home with a final score of 6-5. Given that they are the underdogs on the money line at +120, this is the way we recommend playing this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Alec Marsh is projected to go seven innings, while Bailey Ober is projected to go six. However, we have Marsh finishing with just one fewer strikeout than Ober.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.