Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 7/3/2024

The Chicago White Sox (24-63) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (53-30) on Wednesday, July 3rd. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSGL. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the White Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

White Sox vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Guardians (-190)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Guardians have won 7 out of their last 10 home games.
  • Guardians have scored an average of 6.1 runs per game in their last 10 home games.
  • Guardians have a 4-1 record in their last 5 home games against the White Sox.
  • White Sox have lost 6 out of their last 10 games overall.
  • White Sox have a 2-8 record in their last 10 road games.

White Sox vs Guardians

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Cleveland picked up a 7-6 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a two-run lead going into the 9th inning and had to hold on for the win as the White Sox scored one run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -215 on the money line.

Carlos Carrasco started for the Guardians and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two home runs. Emmanuel Clase got the save out of the bullpen.

Chris Flexen got the start for the White Sox and took the loss, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed two homers.

Chicago has struggled this season, with an overall record of 24-63 and a 5-1 record as favorites. They have an average run margin of -1.9 runs per game and an over/under record of 39-45. The over has hit in three straight games for the White Sox, and their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game.

The White Sox are 40-47 against the run line this season and have a better record on the road (18-24) than at home (22-23). As underdogs, they are 19-62 straight up, and their games with an 8.5 run total line have gone 9-10 O/U. Chicago is currently 5th in the AL Central, 31 games behind the Guardians.

Erick Fedde Gets The Start For The White Sox

Right-hander Erick Fedde gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces off against the Guardians on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 5-3 with a 3.23 ERA. Fedde’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14, and he has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, Fedde took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .229 off Fedde this season, and he is averaging 8.16 strikeouts per nine innings.

White Sox Offense Breakdown

Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are dead last in OPS and are averaging just 3.1 runs per game. Not only are they last in OPS, but they are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The White Sox are also near the bottom of the league in home runs, with a team total of 77.

Andrew Vaughn has been the White Sox’s most consistent hitter this season, batting .244 with a team-high 40 RBIs. He is also 2nd on the team with 11 homers. Paul DeJong has a team-high 15 homers but is batting just .237 for the season. In his last eight games, Luis Robert Jr. has gone 9/32 with three homers and seven RBIs.

Cleveland has a 53-30 record and leads the AL Central by six games over the Twins. The Guardians have won six straight games at home and are 27-9 overall at Progressive Field this season.

When favored, the Guardians are 37-16 straight up and 20-16 against the run line at home. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs, with an over/under record of 40-37. The O/U record for games with an 8.5 run total is 8-12, and 24.1% of their games have had totals of 8.5 or higher.

Gavin Williams Gets The Start For The Guardians

Getting the start for the Guardians is right-hander Gavin Williams. Last season, he made 16 starts and finished with a record of 3-5. His ERA for the year was 3.29, and he finished with a WHIP of 1.26. Williams gave up a total of eight home runs and averaged 2.3 walks per game. His K/9 for the season was 8.89, and he finished with four quality starts. Overall, Williams’ FIP for the season was 4.05.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

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For the season, the Guardians are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 12th in the league, and have the 8th best slugging percentage in the league. Cleveland’s offense is led by José Ramírez, who is 4th in the league with 23 homers and 2nd in the league with 76 RBIs. Ramírez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/38 in his last nine games.

Josh Naylor is also near the top of the league in home runs, as his 20 homers is 7th in the league. Naylor is batting just .242 for the season, but he is currently on a three-game hitting streak. As a team, the Guardians are 4th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game.

White Sox vs Guardians Prediction

Our prediction for the Guardians vs. White Sox game is that the Guardians will come out on top by a score of 5-4. However, with the money line payout for the Guardians at -190, we recommend taking the over, as we have the game going over 8.5 runs and the payout sitting at -102.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gavin Williams finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Erick Fedde, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, which has him ranked 18th.

Offensively, our projections have the Guardians finishing with nine hits and the White Sox with eight. The Guardians are also projected to finish with 6th best in the league in runs today, compared to the White Sox, who are projected to finish with the worst.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.