The New York Yankees (56-39) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (57-36) on Friday, July 12th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on YES. Both the Yankees and Orioles are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:05 CT.
Yankees vs. Orioles Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Orioles (+109)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- Orioles have a higher league rank (2nd) compared to the Yankees (3rd).
- Orioles have a better home record (29-20) compared to the Yankees’ away record (31-20).
- Orioles have scored 4 or more runs in 7 out of their last 15 games.
- Orioles have won 3 out of their last 4 home games.
- Orioles won the last head-to-head game against the Yankees with a score of 17-5 on June 20th.
Yankees vs Orioles
The Orioles Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rays with a 5-4 loss. New York was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind early, as the Rays scored two runs in the first inning. The Yankees could only score one run in the 2nd, and Tampa Bay added another three runs in the 3rd to go up 5-1.
New York’s offense scored their final three runs in the 9th but couldn comeback fell short. Juan Soto had a big game, going 2/3 with a homer and a run scored. The Yankees also had a good game from Austin Wells, who was 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
After dropping two of three games to the Rays, the Yankees are two games behind the Orioles in the AL East standings. This season, the Yankees have a 14-18 record in AL East matchups and an overall series record of 17-9-3, but they have lost three straight series.
Against the run line, the Yankees have been more profitable on the road with a 29-22 record, while at home, they are 21-23. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs this season, and their over/under record is 49-42. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 2-7-2.
Gerrit Cole Gets The Start For The Yankees
After starting the season with a win over the Blue Jays, Gerrit Cole took a loss in his second start and then received a no-decision in his last outing. He’ll be facing the Orioles, who he pitched against in his 2nd start of the season, going 4 innings and giving up 2 runs.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top two home run hitters in the league in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. Judge has gone deep 32 times this season, while Soto has 22 homers. Judge is also 1st in the league in RBIs, with 83, and Soto is 6th in the league with 64 RBIs. Judge comes into the game batting .304, and Soto is just behind him at .297.
The Yankees have been very patient at the plate this season, as they lead the league in walks. As a team, they are 2nd in runs scored and are averaging 5 runs per game on the road and 4.7 at home. Currently, Giancarlo Stanton is on a 10-game hitting streak, and Gleyber Torres has a four-game streak going. Ben Rice has five homers in his last 10 games but is batting just .243 over that stretch.
The Orioles Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Orioles will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with an 8-0 loss. Baltimore was the slight favorite at -135 on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Cubs scored three times in the 3rd.
Offensively, the Orioles only had five hits but didn’t score a run. Their biggest issue was not having a timely hit, as they didn’t score a run until the 7th inning. Albert Suárez got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs.
So far this season, the under has hit in 75.3% of Orioles games, resulting in a 47-36 over/under record. Their average run total is 9.1 runs per game, but the under has hit in their last two games. As the underdog, they have a 13-4 run line record, while as the favorite, they are 38-38 against the run line.
After a three-game losing streak, the Orioles are 57-36 and hold a two-game lead over the Yankees in the AL East. They have a 29-20 home record and are 19-7 against divisional opponents this season.
Cade Povich Gets The Start For The Orioles
Cade Povich will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Athletics, as he gave up eight earned runs in just one inning of work. In that July 6th outing, he gave up three homers. Before that start, he had a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 4.54. Povich’s overall ERA is now 6.51, along with a record of 1-3. Opposing batters have hit .257 this season vs. Povich. Out of his six starts, he has made one quality start and is averaging 5.86 strikeouts per nine innings. Povich’s ERA on the road is 28.02 compared to 2.79 at home.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Orioles have been the league’s best offense this season, averaging 5 runs per game while leading the league in home runs. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Baltimore also leads the league in slugging percentage and OPS. The team’s collective batting average is .254, which is 5th best in the MLB right now.
Gunnar Henderson has been the team’s best hitter this season, batting .288 with 27 homers and 61 RBIs. He has also gone 11/42 in his last 10 games. Jordan Westburg has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/41 in his last 10 games with two homers. Westburg is also on a nine-game hitting streak. As a team, the Orioles have the league’s top two home run hitters in Henderson and Anthony Santander.
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction
We see the Orioles taking this one at home with a final score of 6-5. Given that they are the underdogs, you can get a payout of +109 by taking them on the money line. In terms of the starting pitchers, Cade Povich is projected to finish with five strikeouts, while Gerrit Cole is projected to finish with seven.
Offensively, we have the Orioles finishing with nine hits compared to the Yankees with eight. If you’re looking for a home run prop, the Orioles are projected to hit the third-most home runs in the league today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 12, 2024 Orioles, Yankees