New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 10/18/2024

The New York Yankees (94-68) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) on Friday, October 18th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on None. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 7:08 CT.

Yankees vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-123)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 8 Runs
  • The Yankees have won 4 out of their last 5 road games, showcasing strong recent performance away from home.
  • In the last 15 games, the Yankees have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game, indicating a potent offense.
  • The Yankees have a better overall record (94-68) compared to the Guardians (92-69), suggesting a stronger team performance throughout the season.
  • In their last 3 head-to-head matchups against the Guardians, the Yankees have won 2 games, demonstrating recent success against this opponent.
  • The Yankees have a positive run differential in their last 15 games, scoring 77 runs while allowing 66, indicating effective offensive and defensive play.

Yankees vs Guardians

new york yankees nba

Cleveland picked up a 7-5 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 8th inning, scoring three runs and then added two more in the 9th. As for the Yankees, they scored one run in the 8th and added two more in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were the slight favorites at -107.

Matthew Boyd got the start for the Guardians, going five innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued three walks. Pedro Avila got the win out of the bullpen. As for the Yankees, Clarke Schmidt got the start and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work.

Kyle Manzardo hit the game’s only home run while going 2/3 with two RBIs and two runs scored. David Fry also had a two-hit game for the Guardians’ offense.

As the Yankees prepare for game four of their series against Cleveland, they hold a 2-1 lead and are on the road. New York finished the regular season with a 94-68 record, going 44-37 at home and 50-31 on the road. As favorites, they posted an 81-62 mark, while going 18-8 as underdogs.

New York’s run line record for the season is 87-82, including 50-34 on the road. As favorites, their run line record is 65-78. The Yankees’ games have averaged 9.1 runs this season, while today’s over/under line sits at 8 runs. Their over/under record is 89-75, and the over has hit in their last two games.

Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound today vs. the Guardians, and he comes in with a record of 15-7 and an ERA of 3.50. Out of his 29 starts, Gil has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 10.15 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gil took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, going 9-3 with a 3.84 ERA compared to 6-4 with a 6.11 ERA at home.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Yankees offense is averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league and have the league’s top two home run hitters in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. Judge has gone deep 58 times this season, while Soto has 41 homers. Judge is also batting .322 for the season and has driven in 144 runs, which is also the best mark in the MLB.

Over his last five games, Giancarlo Stanton has three home runs and is batting .389. DJ LeMahieu comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak, and Alex Verdugo has a hit in his last three games.

Facing a must-win game four against the Yankees, Cleveland looks to even the series, trailing 2-1. The Guardians finished the regular season with a 92-69 record, including a 50-30 mark at home and 42-39 on the road. They’ve lost two straight in this series but have won their last two home games.

Cleveland’s run line record is 85-84, with a 42-42 mark at home. They’ve also covered the run line in their last two home games. As favorites, their run line record is 47-56, while they’re 38-28 as underdogs. The Guardians’ over/under record is 72-85, and the over has hit in their last two games.

Gavin Williams Gets The Start For The Guardians

Gavin Williams is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees, as he gets the start for the Guardians today. In that outing, he gave up five earned runs in just two-thirds of an inning of work. Williams has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 3-10 with a 4.86 ERA. Looking at his walk numbers, Williams is averaging 3.79 walks per nine innings compared to 9.36 strikeouts. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.37 for the season. Overall, he has allowed seven homers at home and seven on the road.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

cleveland guardians

Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 14th in the league, and have the 11th most home runs in the league. Jose Ramirez has been a big part of their lineup, as he is 3rd in the MLB with 118 RBIs and has a team-high 39 homers.

Josh Naylor and Jose Ramirez have been swinging the bat well of late, with Naylor going 4/12 in his last five games and Ramirez going 4/19. Both players have two homers in this stretch. Brayan Rocchio is currently on an eight-game hitting streak for the Guardians.

Yankees vs Guardians Prediction

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Guardians matchup is that the Yankees will pick up a 4-3 road win. With the Yankees on the money line at -123, we see this as a great payout for a Yankees win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Luis Gil going six innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Guardians starter Gavin Williams, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts over six innings.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.