The New York Mets (81-66) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (88-59) on Saturday, September 14th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.

Mets vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-108)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs

• Phillies have a strong home record with 50 wins and 26 losses, compared to the Mets’ away record of 41 wins and 32 losses.
• In the last 15 games, the Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 9 games, showing consistent offensive performance.
• Phillies have won 7 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
• In the last 15 games, the Phillies have won 6 out of 7 home games, demonstrating home-field advantage.
• Phillies have a better overall league rank (1st in NL East) compared to the Mets (6th in NL East).

Mets vs Phillies

New York cruised to an easy 11-3 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their eleven runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were at +134 on the money line.

Jose Quintana pitched well for the Mets in this one, going seven innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Aaron Nola had a rough outing for the Phillies, giving up six runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

Harrison Bader and Francisco Alvarez each homered for the Mets, while Pete Alonso went 2/4 with three RBIs. Brandon Nimmo also had a two-hit game and scored three times for New York’s offense.

As the Mets head into today’s game, they have won five straight series and are 8-2 in their last ten games. They trail the Phillies by seven games in the NL East with an 81-66 overall record. Their run line record is 41-32 on the road and 34-23 as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record in Mets games is 73-69, with the average run total being 9.1 runs per game. The over has hit in their last two games, and their O/U record when the total is set at 9 runs is 5-10-4.

Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made 28 starts and has a record of 10-6. Severino’s ERA is 3.74, along with a WHIP of 1.25. In his 28 appearances, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 7.81 strikeouts per nine innings. One of Severino’s complete games this year was a shutout. Looking back at his most recent outing, Severino finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. He pitched well in that outing, giving up just five hits and two walks.

Mets Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Mets are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 5th best home run hitting team and have the 9th best slugging percentage in the league. For the season, the Mets are batting a collective .247.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso are the Mets’ top home run hitters this season, with Lindor batting .270 and Alonso at .240. Alonso’s 32 homers are 10th best in the league, and Lindor is just behind him with 31. Lindor is also 15th in the league with 86 RBIs. Lindor and Jose Iglesias are both on good hitting streaks, with Lindor at 3 games and Iglesias at 7.

Philadelphia, with an 88-59 record, is hosting the Mets today, holding a seven-game lead in the NL East. The Phillies have a 26-15-6 series record and are 7-3 in their last 10 games.

When favored, the Phillies have a 75-44 straight-up record but are 56-63 against the run line. Their over/under record for the season is 69-71, with an average of 9.0 runs per game. Today’s O/U line of 9 runs is only the 15th time this season the Phillies have had a total set at 9 runs.

Kolby Allard Gets The Start For The Phillies

Kolby Allard will be making his second start of the season at home, as the Phillies take on the Mets. Allard has been solid in his first two starts, as he has picked up a win in each outing. He has struck out 8 batters in 10 innings of work, and has yet to allow a home run.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 4th ranked team in terms of batting average and have the 8th most homers in the league. Both their on-base percentage and slugging percentage are among the top marks in the league.

Over his last five games, Bryce Harper has gone 8/19, and for the season, he is batting .289 with 26 home runs. Kyle Schwarber has gone deep 35 times this season, which is the best mark in the league, and he is also 10th in the league with 95 RBIs. Schwarber is also on a 10-game hitting streak.

Mets vs Phillies Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Phillies game is to take the Phillies on the money line at -108. At these odds, we like the value of the Phillies to pick up the win and have them winning by a score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Luis Severino going five innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for Kolby Allard, we have him going just over four innings and finishing with five K’s.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.