The New York Yankees (89-63) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (77-75) on Thursday, September 19th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on YES. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Yankees vs. Mariners Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mariners (-108)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- Mariners have a strong home record with 45 wins and 32 losses at home this season.
- In their last 15 games, the Mariners have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games, showing a potent offense.
- Mariners have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- Mariners have a better head-to-head record against the Yankees this season, winning 2 out of 3 games at home.
- Mariners’ offense has been consistent, scoring an average of 5.2 runs per game over the last 15 games.
Yankees vs Mariners
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Yankees vs Mariners series. New York went into the matchup as slight favorites at -119 and squeaked out a 2-1 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Mariners could only muster one more run in the 8th inning. As for the Yankees, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 10th, and the Mariners went down quietly in the bottom half of the inning.
Seattle wasted a good outing from Bryce Miller, as he gave up just one run in six innings of work for the Mariners. Collin Snider took the loss. Nestor Cortes put together a good start for the Yankees, giving up zero earned runs across six innings of work. Luke Weaver got the win out of the bullpen, and Ian Hamilton got the save.
Offensively, the Yankees were led by Anthony Rizzo, who homered and went 2/4 at the plate. Rizzo scored both of the Yankees’ runs. As for the Mariners, Justin Turner hit a home run, while Cal Raleigh went 2/5.
New York has been playing well lately, winning three straight games and seven of their last ten. They lead the AL East by five games with an 89-63 record. The Yankees have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 28-16-4.
When it comes to covering the run line, the Yankees have been more successful on the road. They have covered the run line in 45 of 77 road games, compared to 33 of 75 at home. The average total runs in Yankees games this season is 9, and their O/U record is 80-67. Today’s O/U line is set at 7.5 runs.
Clarke Schmidt Gets The Start For The Yankees
New York is sending right-hander Clarke Schmidt to the mound today vs. the Mariners. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 5-3 with a 2.41 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Schmidt has a WHIP of 1.13 and opponents are batting .217 this season. Schmidt has made two quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Mariners on May 21st, he gave up two earned runs in five innings of work. Schmidt has allowed two earned runs in each of his last two outings.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs this season, but they are also the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. This is being done with a team batting average of .249 (7th) and on-base percentage of .332 (2nd). New York’s offense has been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest.
Right fielder Aaron Judge is not only leading the Yankees with a .321 batting average, but his 53 homers and 136 RBIs are both the best in the league. He has also been hot of late, going 8/27 in his last eight games with two homers. Juan Soto is also a big power threat in the lineup, as his 40 homers are 4th in the league, and he is batting .288 for the season.
Seattle has a 77-75 overall record, which puts them five games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners are currently down 0-2 in their series against the Yankees, having lost two straight games. Their series record this season is 21-23-4.
When the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, the Mariners have a 20-23 O/U record. Their overall O/U record is 71-72, with an average of 7.9 runs per game. Against the run line, they are 41-62 as the favorite and 24-25 as the underdog.
Logan Gilbert Gets The Start For The Mariners
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today vs. the Yankees. Gilbert has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 7-11 with a 3.24 ERA. So far, he has turned in 22 quality starts and is coming off an outing where he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. In that start vs. the Rangers, he gave up one homer. Gilbert has only allowed one homer in three of his last four outings. Looking back further, he has given up at least one homer in six of his last eight outings.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game (25th). They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.7 runs per contest. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .221, which is the worst mark in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage and OPS.
Julio Rodriguez and Luke Raley have been swinging the bat well of late, with Rodriguez batting .311 and Raley hitting .310 over their last 10 games. For the season, Raley is batting .243 with 21 homers, and Rodriguez is hitting .266 with 16 homers. Cal Raleigh has a league-high 93 RBIs but is batting just .213.
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction
Our prediction for the Yankees vs. Mariners game is to take the Mariners straight up at -108. We have the Mariners winning this one by a final of 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Logan Gilbert actually has the highest strikeout projection among all starters today, and we have him finishing with seven K’s. As for Clarke Schmidt, we have him finishing with seven strikeouts as well, which is the fourth-highest projection for starters today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 19, 2024 Mariners, Yankees