Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction 3/27/2025

The Atlanta Hawks (35-37) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (31-41) on Thursday, March 27th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on FDSS. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Hawks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Hawks. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Hawks vs Heat

atlanta hawks nba

The Hawks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Hawks fell to 35-37 on the season after a 121-114 road loss to the Rockets on Tuesday. Atlanta, who were +8 point underdogs, managed to cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 235, just under the 235.5-point line.

Atlanta went on a 14-0 run early in the game, but the Rockets took control by outscoring the Hawks 65-48 over the next two quarters. Atlanta made a push in the 4th quarter, outscoring Houston 40-27, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Miami improved to 31-41 on the season with a dominant 112-86 win over the Warriors on Tuesday. Playing at home, the Heat entered the game as +4.5 point underdogs but covered the spread with the win. The total points for the game were 198, falling short of the 208.5 O/U line.

Miami took control early, leading 57-40 at halftime. Although the Warriors cut into the lead by winning the 3rd quarter 30-26, Miami responded with a 10-0 run in the 4th, holding Golden State to just 16 points while scoring 29 to close out the game.

Hawks Offense Breakdown

In their 121-114 loss to the Rockets, the Hawks shot 41.7% from the field and connected on 15 threes, despite shooting just 30.6% from beyond the arc. Trae Young and Dyson Daniels led the way with 19 points each, with Young adding 12 assists and Daniels contributing 10.

Young scored 13 of his 19 points in the 2nd quarter, while Daniels added 8 points in the 4th. Zaccharie Risacher also had 10 points in the final period, and Terance Mann scored 12 of his 16 points in the 4th quarter.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

The Heat’s offense shined in their win over the Warriors, shooting 55.8% from the field and hitting 17 threes at a 68% clip. Bam Adebayo led the way with 27 points, including 13 in the 1st quarter.

Tyler Herro added 20 points, making 4 threes without a miss, while Alec Burks contributed 17 points, hitting 5 threes at 71.4% efficiency.

Hawks Team Defense

Defensively, the Hawks struggled in the 2nd quarter, giving up 35 points, but they tightened up in the 3rd and 4th quarters, allowing 29 and 27 points, respectively. Overall, they allowed 121 points on 45% shooting from the Rockets.

Atlanta did well in limiting Houston’s three-point shooting, holding them to just 11 made threes on 28% shooting. However, the Rockets went to the free-throw line 29 times, converting 26. The Hawks also allowed 14 offensive rebounds while recording 8 steals and 1 block.

Heat Team Defense

Despite a solid defensive effort in the 3rd and 4th quarters, the Hawks couldn’t contain the Rockets, giving up 121 points in the loss. Atlanta allowed 30 points in the 1st quarter and 35 in the 2nd, but they tightened up in the 2nd half, allowing just 29 points in the 3rd and 27 in the 4th. Overall, the Rockets shot 45% from the field.

The Hawks did a good job defending the three-point line, holding the Rockets to just 11 made threes on 28% shooting. However, Houston took advantage of their trips to the free-throw line, hitting 26 of 29 attempts. Atlanta finished with 24 defensive rebounds, while giving up 14 offensive boards. They also recorded 8 steals and 1 block.

Hawks vs Heat Trends

  • Although Atlanta has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 8-2. The team averaged 124 points per game in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Heat have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 3-6-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 102 points per game in this stretch.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Hawks have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 2-3.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 2-3.

Hawks vs Heat Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Heat to secure the win, with an expected final score of 128-107. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -2.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 227, and our model predicts the Hawks and Heat to score a combined 235 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.