Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 2/3/2025

The Milwaukee Bucks (26-21) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (38-9) on Monday, February 3rd. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on FDSO. The Thunder are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Bucks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bucks. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Bucks vs Thunder

milwaukee bucks nba

The Bucks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Bucks fell to 26-21 on the season after a 132-119 home loss to the Grizzlies on Sunday. Milwaukee, favored by four points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 251 points narrowly exceeded the O/U line of 248.5.

Memphis went on an 11-0 run to take a 46-35 lead early, but Milwaukee battled back, leading 99-93 after the 3rd quarter. However, the Bucks were outscored 39-20 in the 4th, leading to the loss.

The Thunder Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Thunder improved to 38-9 this season with a dominant 144-110 win over the Kings on Saturday. Oklahoma City, favored by 7.5 points, covered the spread with a +34 point margin. The game’s total of 254 points exceeded the over/under line of 237.5 by 16.5 points.

A pivotal 12-0 run helped the Thunder pull away, extending the score from 58-45 to 70-45. After a 46-24 second quarter, the Kings outscored the Thunder 35-31 in the third, but Oklahoma City closed strong, winning the fourth quarter 31-20.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

In their 132-119 loss to the Grizzlies, the Bucks hit 20 threes, shooting 44.4% from beyond the arc and 48.4% overall. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 30 points, 11 rebounds, and 7 assists, shooting 66.7% from the field and 66.7% from three.

Khris Middleton added 20 points, hitting 4 threes at an 80% clip. Damian Lillard and Brook Lopez each contributed 15 points, with Lillard scoring 7 in the 4th quarter. AJ Green chipped in 14 points, 8 of which came in the 2nd quarter.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

The Thunder’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their 144-110 win over the Kings, shooting 53.3% from the field and hitting 19 threes at a 41.3% clip. Aaron Wiggins led the way with 41 points and 14 rebounds, connecting on 6 threes, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 29 points and 9 assists.

Luguentz Dort also hit 6 threes, finishing with 20 points and 7 rebounds. Wiggins scored 14 points in the 4th quarter, while Gilgeous-Alexander had 13 in the 1st. Kenrich Williams contributed 18 points, and Isaiah Hartenstein added 16, with 8 coming in the opening period.

Bucks Team Defense

Defensively, the Bucks struggled in the 3rd and 4th quarters, giving up 37 and 39 points, respectively, in their 132-119 loss to the Grizzlies. Milwaukee did manage to hold Memphis to 14 made threes on 35% shooting from deep.

The Bucks sent the Grizzlies to the line 22 times, where they converted 14 free throws. Milwaukee finished with 28 defensive rebounds but allowed 22 offensive boards. They also recorded 7 steals and 5 blocks.

Thunder Team Defense

Defensively, the Bucks had a strong 2nd quarter, holding the Grizzlies to 25 points, but they struggled in the 3rd and 4th, giving up 76 points combined in a 132-119 loss. Milwaukee allowed Memphis to shoot 48% from the field.

The Bucks did a good job defending the three, with the Grizzlies hitting 14 threes at a 35% rate. Milwaukee sent Memphis to the line 22 times, where they made 14 free throws. The Bucks finished with 7 steals and 5 blocks.

Bucks vs Thunder Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 4-5-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 115 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Bucks have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Thunder have gone 4-5-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

Bucks vs Thunder Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +10, the Bucks is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 232, and our model predicts the Bucks and Thunder to score a combined 241 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.