The Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (50-32) on Thursday, May 15th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ESPN. The Thunder are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nuggets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nuggets. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.
Thunder vs Nuggets
The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win
With a 112-105 win over the Nuggets on Tuesday, the Thunder improved to 68-14 this season. Despite being favored by 10 points, they didn’t cover the spread. The combined score of 217 points fell short of the 221.5-point O/U line.
After a 10-0 run by Denver early in the game, the Thunder found themselves down 24-10. They trailed 86-78 going into the 4th quarter but turned things around by outscoring the Nuggets 34-19 in the final period.
The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win
Denver’s season record fell to 50-32 after a 112-105 road loss to the Thunder on Tuesday. Despite being +10 point underdogs, the Nuggets kept it close, losing by just seven. The total score of 217 points came in under the 221.5-point line.
Denver started strong with a 10-0 run, pushing the score from 14-10 to 24-10. They led 86-78 going into the 4th quarter but were outscored 34-19 in the final period.
Thunder Offense Breakdown
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 31 points and 7 assists in their win over the Nuggets, scoring 10 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters. Jalen Williams added 18 points, 9 of which came in the opening quarter, while Isaiah Hartenstein contributed 15 points on 70% shooting.
The Thunder made 12 threes at a 41.4% clip, shooting 50% overall from the field. Luguentz Dort scored 9 of his 12 points in the 4th quarter, and Alex Caruso and Chet Holmgren each chipped in 13 and 14 points, respectively.
Nuggets Offense Breakdown
Nikola Jokić was the standout performer for the Nuggets in their loss to the Thunder, scoring 44 points and grabbing 15 rebounds while shooting 68% from the field. He also hit 5 threes at a 71.4% clip. Jamal Murray added 28 points, with 13 coming in the 3rd quarter, despite shooting just 37% from the field and 23.1% from beyond the arc.
As a team, the Nuggets shot 41.2% from the field and struggled from three, hitting just 28.3% of their attempts. They did make 13 threes in the game, but their overall shooting woes contributed to the loss.
Thunder Team Defense
The Thunder gave up 105 points but clamped down in the 4th quarter, allowing just 19 points to secure the win over the Nuggets. Overall, they held Denver to 41% shooting from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Thunder limited the Nuggets to 13 made threes on 28% shooting. Oklahoma City also collected 7 steals and blocked 6 shots in the game.
Nuggets Team Defense
Defensively, the Thunder gave up 105 points but clamped down in the 4th quarter, allowing just 19 points to secure the win. They held the Nuggets to 41% shooting overall.
From three-point range, the Thunder limited Denver to 28% shooting, with 13 threes made. Oklahoma City also recorded 7 steals and 6 blocks in the game.
Thunder vs Nuggets Trends
- Across the Thunder last three road games, the team averaged 104 points per game while allowing 105. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 2-1 straight-up.
- Through their last ten home games, Denver has an ATS record of just 6-3-1. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 109 points per game.
- The last ten games that Denver was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-3-1 while going 4-6 straight up.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Thunder have a straight up record of 3-2, while going 1-4 against the spread.
Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction
We’re putting our money on the Thunder to win, and have the projected score sitting at 151-137. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Thunder at -4.5.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 215.5, and our model projects the Thunder and Nuggets to reach a combined total of 288 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 15, 2025 Nuggets, Thunder