Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies NBA Betting Prediction

NBA City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 3/5/2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder (50-11) travel to face off against the Memphis Grizzlies (38-23) on Wednesday, March 5th. This game will be played at FedExForum in Memphis and televised on ESPN. The Thunder are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Grizzlies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Grizzlies. Tip-off is set for 9:30 ET.

Thunder vs Grizzlies

oklahoma city thunder nba

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

With a 137-128 win over the Rockets on Monday, the Thunder improved to 50-11 for the season. Oklahoma City, favored by 14 points, didn’t cover the spread, and the game’s total of 265 points exceeded the over/under line of 228.5.

A key moment came when the Thunder went on a 13-0 run, stretching the score from 68-67 to 81-67. They outscored Houston 39-27 in the 3rd quarter, taking a 102-89 lead into the 4th, but the Rockets closed the gap by winning the final quarter 39-35.

The Grizzlies Are Coming Off A Win

The Grizzlies dropped to 38-23 on the season after a 132-130 loss to the Hawks on Monday. Memphis, who were favored by 8 points, failed to cover the spread at home. The total points of 262 exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 250.

Memphis went on a 10-0 run early, but Atlanta responded with a 42-point 2nd quarter. The Grizzlies regained control with a 42-31 3rd quarter, leading 107-101 heading into the 4th, but the Hawks outscored them 31-23 in the final period to complete the comeback.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 51-point performance, including 20 in the 1st quarter and 17 in the 3rd, led the Thunder to a 137-128 win over the Rockets. He shot 60% from the field, hitting 5 threes at 55.6% efficiency.

Jalen Williams contributed 24 points, with 9 in the 4th, and connected on 4 threes at 80%. The Thunder hit 17 threes as a team, shooting 45.9% from deep and 49.5% overall.

Grizzlies Offense Breakdown

memphis grizzlies

Desmond Bane’s triple-double of 35 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists highlighted the Grizzlies’ offensive performance in their 132-130 loss to the Hawks. Bane scored 18 points in the 3rd quarter and added 13 in the 1st. Memphis shot 50.5% from the field and connected on 39.4% of their three-point attempts, making 13 threes.

Luke Kennard contributed 17 points, with 8 coming in the 4th quarter, and Vince Williams added 15 points, hitting 3 threes at a 60% clip. Zach Edey also scored 15, with 5 points in the final period, while Jaylen Wells added 12 points, including 7 in the 2nd quarter.

Thunder Team Defense

Despite allowing 128 points, the Thunder managed to secure a win against the Rockets. Oklahoma City gave up 31 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters, but tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 27. However, they struggled in the 4th, giving up 39 points.

The Thunder allowed Houston to shoot 48% from the field and 45% from three, where the Rockets hit 16 threes. Oklahoma City sent Houston to the line 17 times, where they made 14 free throws. Defensively, the Thunder recorded 11 steals and 6 blocks.

Grizzlies Team Defense

Defensively, the Thunder gave up 128 points to the Rockets, who shot 48% from the field. Oklahoma City allowed 31 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters, but tightened up in the 3rd, giving up 27 points. However, they struggled in the 4th, allowing 39 points.

From beyond the arc, the Thunder allowed 16 threes on 45% shooting. Houston went to the line 17 times, making 14 free throws. The Thunder collected 35 defensive rebounds but gave up 15 offensive boards. They also recorded 11 steals and 6 blocks.

Thunder vs Grizzlies Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Thunder offense has averaged 122 points per game while allowing an average of 116. Oklahoma City posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 4-6 ATS.
  • Through their last five home games, Memphis has an ATS record of just 1-3-1. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 114 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-5-1.
  • As the betting favorite, the Thunder have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction

The Grizzlies come in as the underdog at +8, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 250.5 and given that our model is projecting 276 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.