Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction 4/28/2025

The Cleveland Cavaliers (64-18) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (37-45) on Monday, April 28th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on TNT. The Cavaliers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Cavaliers vs Heat

cleveland cavaliers nba

The Cavaliers Are Coming Off A Win

The Cavaliers improved to 64-18 this season with a dominant 124-87 win over the Heat on Saturday. Cleveland was favored by five points and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 211 points was right on the pre-game line.

Cleveland went on an 18-0 run early, stretching the score from 15-8 to 33-8. They led 33-20 after the 1st quarter and continued to pull away, outscoring Miami 29-22 in the 2nd and 26-22 in the 3rd. The Cavaliers finished strong, winning the 4th quarter 36-23.

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

Miami’s season ended on a sour note with a 124-87 loss to the Cavaliers on Saturday, dropping their record to 37-45. The Heat were +5 point underdogs but failed to cover the spread, losing by 37 points. The total score of 211 points matched the over/under line exactly.

The Cavaliers went on an 18-0 run early, stretching the score from 15-8 to 33-8. Miami couldn’t recover, trailing 88-64 going into the 4th quarter before being outscored 36-23 in the final period.

Cavaliers Offense Breakdown

Jarrett Allen’s 22 points on 88.9% shooting led the Cavaliers to a 124-point performance in their win over the Heat, with Allen scoring 10 of his points in the opening quarter. De’Andre Hunter added 21 points, hitting 3 threes at a 60% clip, while Evan Mobley contributed 19 points, 7 of which came in the 4th quarter.

The Cavaliers shot 53.5% from the field, connecting on 15 threes at a 37.5% rate. Max Strus and Donovan Mitchell each scored 7 points in the final period, with Mitchell adding 7 of his 13 points in the 3rd quarter. Ty Jerome also added 9 of his 13 points in the 3rd.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

In their 124-87 loss to the Cavaliers, the Heat’s offense struggled, shooting just 42.1% from the field. However, they found success from beyond the arc, hitting 16 threes at a 47.1% clip.

Bam Adebayo led Miami with 22 points, including 4 made threes at 57.1%. Davion Mitchell added 16 points, shooting 63.6% from the field and making both of his three-point attempts.

Cavaliers Team Defense

The Cavaliers put on a defensive clinic against the Heat, holding them to just 87 points. Cleveland allowed 20 points in the 1st quarter and 22 in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters, before giving up 23 in the 4th.

Even with the Heat shooting 47% from three and making 16 threes, the Cavaliers limited Miami’s trips to the line, where they went 7/10. Cleveland also controlled the boards, allowing just 5 offensive rebounds.

Heat Team Defense

The Cavaliers put on a defensive clinic against the Heat, holding them to just 87 points on Saturday. Cleveland limited Miami to 20 points in the 1st quarter and never allowed more than 23 points in any period, giving up 22 points in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters.

While the Cavaliers allowed the Heat to hit 16 threes at a 47% clip, they sent Miami to the line just 10 times, where the Heat made 7 free throws. Cleveland also controlled the boards, allowing only 5 offensive rebounds, while adding 7 steals and 1 block.

Cavaliers vs Heat Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Cleveland has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 114 points per game.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Miami has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 116 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Heat have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
  • The Cavaliers have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Cavaliers to win, and have the projected score sitting at 145-133. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Cavaliers at -8.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 210.5 and our model has the Cavaliers and Heat finishing with a combined 278 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.