NBA Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 1/14/2025

The Denver Nuggets (23-15) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (22-17) on Tuesday, January 14th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on TNT. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mavericks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mavericks. Tip-off is set for 9:30 ET.

Nuggets vs Mavericks

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

The Nuggets improved to 23-15 on the season with a 112-101 road win over the Mavericks on Sunday. Denver, favored by 5.5 points, covered the spread, while the game’s total of 213 points fell well short of the 232.5-point line.

After a rough start, where Dallas went on a 10-0 run early, Denver turned things around by outscoring the Mavericks 41-29 in the 2nd quarter. Despite trailing 89-79 going into the 4th, the Nuggets dominated the final period, holding Dallas to just 12 points while scoring 33 of their own.

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

The Mavericks fell to 22-17 on the season after a 112-101 home loss to the Nuggets on Sunday. Dallas entered the game as +5.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The combined score of 213 points was well below the pre-game O/U line of 232.5.

Dallas started strong, going on a 10-0 run early and leading 32-17 after the 1st quarter. However, Denver responded by outscoring the Mavericks 41-29 in the 2nd quarter. Dallas regained control in the 3rd, taking an 89-79 lead into the 4th, but they managed just 12 points in the final quarter while the Nuggets scored 33.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

In their win over the Mavericks, the Nuggets shot 48.9% from the field but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 7 threes at a 21.9% rate. Russell Westbrook led the way with 21 points, 10 rebounds, and 7 assists, shooting 58.8% from the floor.

Nikola Jokic added 19 points and 18 rebounds, while Jamal Murray chipped in 17 points, including 8 in the 4th quarter. Westbrook also scored 8 points in the final period, matching his 2nd quarter output.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

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In their 112-101 loss to the Nuggets, the Mavericks shot just 41.2% from the field, with their three-point shooting at 35.3%, making 12 threes overall. Klay Thompson led the way with 25 points, hitting 6 threes at a 46.2% rate.

Naji Marshall and Spencer Dinwiddie each added 16 points, with Dinwiddie also dishing out 10 assists despite shooting just 30.8%. Thompson scored 11 points in the 3rd quarter, while Dinwiddie and Marshall each added 6 points in the final period.

Nuggets Team Defense

Despite a slow start, the Nuggets’ defense tightened up in the 4th quarter, allowing just 12 points to help secure a 112-101 win over the Mavericks. Denver gave up 101 points overall, with Dallas shooting 41% from the field.

The Nuggets held the Mavericks to 12 made threes on 35% shooting. Denver also sent Dallas to the line 25 times, where they made 19 free throws. The Nuggets finished with 40 defensive rebounds, allowing 8 offensive boards, and added 6 steals and 5 blocks.

Mavericks Team Defense

Despite a slow start, the Nuggets tightened up defensively in the 4th quarter, allowing just 12 points to help secure the win. Overall, they gave up 101 points on 41% shooting from the Mavericks.

Denver limited Dallas to 12 made threes on 35% shooting from beyond the arc. The Nuggets also sent the Mavericks to the line 25 times, where they hit 19 free throws. Denver finished with 40 defensive rebounds, gave up 8 offensive boards, and recorded 6 steals and 5 blocks.

Nuggets vs Mavericks Trends

  • In their last five road games, Denver has averaged 119 points per game while allowing 114 . The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last three games at home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 101 points per game in these contests.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.
  • The Nuggets have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.

Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction

The Nuggets is our selection to secure the victory, with a projected score of 129-112. We also like them to cover the spread, so we suggest betting on the Nuggets at -4.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 232.5, and our model predicts the Nuggets and Mavericks to score a combined 241 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.