Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction 3/23/2025

The Denver Nuggets (44-27) travel to face off against the Houston Rockets (46-25) on Sunday, March 23rd. This game will be played at Toyota Center in Houston and televised on SCHN. The Rockets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nuggets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nuggets. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Nuggets vs Rockets

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After a 128-109 loss to the Trail Blazers on Friday, the Nuggets are now 44-27 for the season. Denver, who were favored by 2 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The total score of 237 points exceeded the O/U line of 226.5 by 10.5 points.

Portland’s 10-0 run early on shifted momentum, and though Denver led 59-54 at halftime, the Blazers outscored them 34-23 in the 3rd quarter and 40-27 in the 4th.

The Rockets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Rockets improved to 46-25 this season with a 102-98 win over the Heat on Friday. Houston was favored by 4.5 points but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 200, falling short of the 212.5-point over/under line.

Houston trailed 59-51 at halftime but turned things around in the second half. They outscored Miami 27-21 in the 3rd quarter and 24-18 in the 4th to secure the win.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

Aaron Gordon led the Nuggets with 23 points in their 128-109 loss to the Trail Blazers, scoring 9 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters. Russell Westbrook added 18 points, with 9 coming in the 2nd quarter, while Michael Porter Jr. contributed 17 points, 8 of which came in the 4th.

Porter hit 3 threes, shooting 42.9% from deep, as the Nuggets made just 9 threes at 34.6% overall. They shot 50% from the field, but their 3-point shooting was below average.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

houston rockets

Fred VanVleet’s 37 points, including 9 threes at an 81.8% clip, powered the Rockets past the Heat. He shot 76.5% from the field, and the Rockets hit 14 threes, shooting 50% from deep.

Amen Thompson added 18 points and 9 rebounds, while Dillon Brooks and Jabari Smith each contributed 11 points. VanVleet scored 13 points in the 4th quarter, with Thompson adding 8.

Nuggets Team Defense

Defensively, the Nuggets had a strong 2nd quarter but struggled in the 4th, allowing 40 points in their 128-109 loss to the Trail Blazers. Overall, they gave up 128 points on 54% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, Denver allowed Portland to hit 14 threes at a 40% clip. The Nuggets also sent the Blazers to the line 25 times, where they made 20 free throws. Denver recorded 10 steals and 2 blocks in the game.

Rockets Team Defense

Despite a solid defensive effort in the 2nd quarter, the Nuggets couldn’t contain the Trail Blazers in the 4th, allowing 40 points and ultimately giving up 128 in the loss. Denver allowed Portland to shoot 54% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Trail Blazers hit 14 threes at a 40% clip. Denver also sent Portland to the line 25 times, where they converted 20 free throws. The Nuggets finished with 10 steals and 2 blocks.

Nuggets vs Rockets Trends

  • Across their five previous road games, Denver has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 114 points per game.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 110 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
  • Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Rockets have an overall record of 3-0 while going 1-2 against the spread.

Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction

Not only do we have the Rockets winning this one by a score of 134-100, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Rockets at -7.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 227.5 and our model has the Nuggets and Rockets finishing with a combined 234 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.