Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 1/11/2025

The Memphis Grizzlies (24-14) travel to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (20-17) on Saturday, January 11th. This game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis and televised on FDSN. The Timberwolves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Grizzlies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Grizzlies. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves

memphis grizzlies nba

The Grizzlies Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Grizzlies fell to 24-14 on the season after a 119-115 home loss to the Rockets on Thursday. Memphis, favored by 3 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 234 narrowly missed the over/under line of 234.5.

Houston’s 12-0 run early in the game gave them control, but Memphis fought back, outscoring the Rockets 27-23 in the 2nd quarter. Despite trailing 101-92 going into the 4th, the Grizzlies held Houston to 18 points in the final period while scoring 23 of their own.

The Timberwolves Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Timberwolves improved to 20-17 on the season with a 104-89 win over the Magic on Thursday. Minnesota, favored by 6 points, covered the spread, while the game’s total of 193 points fell short of the 199.5 O/U line.

A key 12-0 run helped the Timberwolves pull away, taking the score from 40-37 to 49-40. They led 78-62 heading into the 4th quarter and held off the Magic, who outscored them 27-26 in the final period.

Grizzlies Offense Breakdown

Ja Morant led the Grizzlies with 27 points in their 119-115 loss to the Rockets, scoring 14 of those in the 3rd quarter. Jaren Jackson Jr. added 21 points, with 8 coming in the 2nd quarter, while Desmond Bane contributed 16 points, including 10 in the 4th.

Memphis shot 50% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 31.2% with 10 made threes. Bane connected on 2 threes, shooting 40% from deep.

Timberwolves Offense Breakdown

minnesota timberwolves

Julius Randle led the Timberwolves with 23 points and 10 rebounds in their win over the Magic, shooting 50% from the field. Anthony Edwards added 21 points, despite shooting just 26.3%, hitting 4 threes at 36.4% efficiency.

Minnesota shot 40% overall, with a 35.3% mark from beyond the arc, making 12 threes. Naz Reid contributed 16 points, hitting 2 threes at 50% efficiency.

Grizzlies Team Defense

Despite a strong defensive effort in the 2nd and 4th quarters, the Grizzlies couldn’t overcome a rough start, allowing 45 points in the 1st quarter in their 119-115 loss to the Rockets. Overall, Memphis held Houston to 42% shooting, including 38% from beyond the arc, where the Rockets hit 13 threes.

The Grizzlies sent the Rockets to the line 41 times, with Houston converting 24 free throws. Memphis also gave up 16 offensive rebounds. Defensively, the Grizzlies recorded 9 steals and 8 blocks in the game.

Timberwolves Team Defense

Despite a strong defensive effort in the 2nd and 4th quarters, the Grizzlies couldn’t overcome a 45-point 1st quarter by the Rockets, leading to a 119-115 loss. Memphis held Houston to 42% shooting from the field, but the Rockets still managed to hit 13 threes at a 38% clip.

The Grizzlies sent the Rockets to the line 41 times, where they made 24 free throws. On the boards, Memphis gave up 16 offensive rebounds. They also recorded 9 steals and 8 blocks in the game.

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Trends

  • Through their last five road games, Memphis has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 120 points per game.
  • The Timberwolves are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • The last five games that Memphis was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Timberwolves have a straight up record of 6-4 and an ATS mark of 4-6.

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +1.5, we have the Grizzlies as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 230 and our model has the Grizzlies and Timberwolves finishing with a combined 269 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.