The Houston Rockets (45-25) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (29-40) on Friday, March 21st. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on SCHN. The Rockets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Rockets vs Heat

The Rockets Are Coming Off A Win

Houston improved to 45-25 on the season with a 116-108 win over the Magic on Wednesday. The Rockets, who were favored by 2.5 points, covered the spread with the victory. The game’s total points of 224 exceeded the O/U line of 209 by 15 points.

A key moment came when Houston went on a 12-0 run, turning a 71-65 deficit into a 77-71 lead. They dominated the 3rd quarter, outscoring Orlando 32-20, and held an 88-72 lead going into the 4th, where the Magic outscored them 36-28.

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat fell to 29-40 on the season after a 116-113 loss to the Pistons on Wednesday. Miami was +4.5 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread with the narrow defeat. The total score of 229 points exceeded the O/U line of 216 by 13 points.

Miami started strong, leading 32-22 after the 1st quarter, but the Pistons outscored them 36-28 in the 2nd. The Heat regained a 93-88 lead after the 3rd, but a 28-20 4th quarter in favor of Detroit sealed the win for the Pistons.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

Jalen Green led the Rockets with 26 points in their win over the Magic, scoring 11 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters. Alperen Şengün added 22 points and 12 rebounds, contributing 8 points in the 4th quarter, while Fred VanVleet scored 9 of his 19 points in the final period.

Houston shot 46.9% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 31.4% of their threes with 11 makes. Green connected on 3 threes at a 27.3% rate, while VanVleet also made 3, shooting 33.3% from deep.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Bam Adebayo led the Heat with 30 points, 9 rebounds, and 8 assists in their 116-113 loss to the Pistons, shooting 50% from the field and hitting 2 threes at 40%. Tyler Herro added 29 points, also shooting 50% and making 3 threes at 33.3%. Duncan Robinson contributed 14 points, hitting 3 threes at 42.9%.

Miami shot 48.9% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, making just 10 threes at 31.2%. Adebayo scored 11 points in the 2nd quarter and 10 more in the 3rd, while Herro added 7 points in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters.

Rockets Team Defense

Defensively, the Rockets were strong in the 1st and 3rd quarters, allowing just 23 and 20 points, respectively, in their win over the Magic. However, they gave up 36 points in the 4th quarter. Overall, they held Orlando to 108 points on 44% shooting.

Houston excelled in defending the three, limiting the Magic to 9 made threes on 25% shooting. The Rockets also recorded 10 steals and 5 blocks in the game.

Heat Team Defense

Defensively, the Rockets were strong in the 1st and 3rd quarters, allowing just 23 and 20 points, respectively, but they gave up 36 points in the 4th. Overall, they held the Magic to 108 points on 44% shooting.

Houston was particularly effective at defending the three-point line, where they limited Orlando to just 9 made threes on 25% shooting. The Rockets also recorded 10 steals and 5 blocks in the game.

Rockets vs Heat Trends

• Across their last five road contests, Houston has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 114 points per game.
• Although Miami has a straight up record of 2-8 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 3-6-1. The team averaged 102 points per game in these games.
• As the betting underdog, the Heat have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
• In their last three contests as the favorite, Houston has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-0.

Rockets vs Heat Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Rockets vs. Heat game, our recommendation is to take the Heat at +5.5. Despite our model showing the Rockets winning 134-129, we like Heat as our point-spread pick.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 213.5, and our model predicts the Rockets and Heat to score a combined 263 points. We recommend betting on the over.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.