Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 11/12/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (5-5) travel to face off against the Golden State Warriors (8-2) on Tuesday, November 12th. This game will be played at Chase Center in San Francisco and televised on TNT. The Warriors are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mavericks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mavericks. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Mavericks vs Warriors

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Mavericks fell to 5-5 on the season after a 122-120 road loss to the Nuggets on Sunday. Dallas entered the game as +2 point underdogs, and the final score was right on the spread. The total points for the game were 242, surpassing the O/U line of 233 by 9 points.

Dallas took control in the 2nd quarter, outscoring Denver 34-25, but the Nuggets responded by winning the 3rd quarter 37-31. Heading into the 4th quarter down 97-94, the Mavericks couldn’t complete the comeback, narrowly outscoring Denver 26-25 in the final period.

The Warriors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Warriors improved to 8-2 this season with a 127-116 win over the Thunder on Sunday. Golden State, +6.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread. The game’s total of 243 points exceeded the O/U line of 227.5 by 15.5 points.

After trailing 33-26 after the 1st quarter, the Warriors took control with a 10-0 run, turning a 65-58 deficit into a 68-65 lead. They dominated the 2nd and 3rd quarters, outscoring the Thunder 81-46, before the Thunder made a late push in the 4th, outscoring Golden State 37-20.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

Kyrie Irving’s 43 points on 77.3% shooting, including 6 threes at 75%, led the Mavericks in their 122-120 loss to the Nuggets. Dallas shot 53.3% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 10 threes at 30.3%.

Irving scored 16 points in the 4th quarter, while Luka Doncic added 24 points, 9 assists, and 9 rebounds, though he shot 25% from three. Daniel Gafford contributed 16 points on 77.8% shooting.

Warriors Offense Breakdown

golden state warriors

The Warriors shot 50.6% from the field and knocked down 21 threes at a 48.8% clip in their win over the Thunder on Sunday. Stephen Curry led the way with 36 points, hitting 7 threes at 53.8% efficiency and adding 7 assists and 5 rebounds.

Jonathan Kuminga contributed 20 points, shooting 72.7% from the field, while De’Anthony Melton added 19 points and 10 rebounds, connecting on 5 threes at 62.5%. Curry scored 17 points in the 3rd quarter, with Kuminga adding 12 in the 2nd.

Mavericks Team Defense

Defensively, the Mavericks had strong 2nd and 4th quarters, allowing 25 points in each, but struggled in the 1st and 3rd, giving up 35 and 37 points, respectively, in their 122-120 loss to the Nuggets. Dallas allowed Denver to shoot 50% from the field.

The Mavericks also had trouble defending the three, with the Nuggets hitting 14 threes at a 48% clip. Dallas put Denver on the line 26 times, with the Nuggets converting 18 free throws. The Mavericks finished with 7 steals and 5 blocks.

Warriors Team Defense

Defensively, the Mavericks struggled in the 1st and 3rd quarters, giving up 35 and 37 points, respectively, in their 122-120 loss to the Nuggets. They tightened up in the 2nd and 4th quarters, allowing just 25 points in each.

Dallas allowed Denver to shoot 50% from the field, including 48% from three, where the Nuggets hit 14 threes. The Mavericks sent the Nuggets to the line 26 times, where they made 18 free throws. Dallas finished with 32 defensive rebounds, allowing 13 offensive boards, while adding 7 steals and 5 blocks.

Mavericks vs Warriors Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 5-3-2 while averaging 106 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
  • Golden State has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 120 points per game while allowing 121. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-2-2.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Warriors have a straight up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 5-5.

Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +2.5, the Mavericks is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 232 and given that our model is projecting 272 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.