Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 1/6/2025

The Dallas Mavericks (20-15) travel to face off against the Memphis Grizzlies (23-13) on Monday, January 6th. This game will be played at FedExForum in Memphis and televised on KFAA. Both the Mavericks and Grizzlies will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 ET.

Mavericks vs Grizzlies

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Mavericks fell to 20-15 on the season after a 134-122 loss to the Cavaliers on Friday. Dallas, who were +9.5 point underdogs, couldn’t cover the spread at home. The game’s total points of 256.5 exceeded the O/U line of 226.5 by 29.5 points.

Cleveland’s 20-0 run early in the game put Dallas in a tough spot, as the Cavs stretched the score from 21-20 to 41-20. The Mavericks tried to rally, winning the 3rd and 4th quarters 69-65, but couldn’t overcome the 100-85 deficit heading into the final period.

The Grizzlies Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Grizzlies dropped to 23-13 on the season after a 121-113 road loss to the Warriors on Saturday. Memphis was a +3 point underdog and failed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 234 points went over the pre-game line of 229.

Golden State’s 12-0 run early in the game put Memphis on their heels. The Grizzlies trailed 92-86 going into the 4th quarter, and the Warriors edged them out 29-27 in the final frame.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

The Mavericks struggled offensively in their loss to the Cavaliers, shooting just 43% from the field and 27.3% from three-point range, hitting only 12 threes. Quentin Grimes led the way with 26 points, including 20 in the third quarter, and shot 64.3% from the floor.

Jaden Hardy added 17 points, scoring 8 in the second quarter and 9 in the fourth. Klay Thompson contributed 16 points, making 4 threes, and had 11 points in the second quarter.

Grizzlies Offense Breakdown

memphis grizzlies

Jaren Jackson Jr. led the Grizzlies with 23 points and 9 rebounds in their loss to the Warriors, shooting 52.4% from the field. Desmond Bane added 22 points and 10 assists, though he struggled from deep, hitting just 2 threes at 25% efficiency. Jake LaRavia contributed 17 points and 10 assists, shooting 62.5% from the floor.

Memphis shot 52.3% overall, but connected on only 9 threes at a 33.3% rate. LaRavia was a standout in the 1st quarter, scoring 12 points, while Jackson had 11 points in the 3rd and 8 more in the 4th.

Mavericks Team Defense

The Mavericks struggled defensively against the Cavaliers, giving up 134 points on 53% shooting. Dallas allowed 32 points in the 1st quarter and 37 in the 2nd, setting the tone for a tough night. Cleveland also scored 34 points in the 4th quarter.

From beyond the arc, the Cavaliers hit 15 threes at a 37% clip. The Mavericks sent Cleveland to the line 20 times, where they made 15 free throws. Defensively, Dallas recorded 3 steals and 4 blocks.

Grizzlies Team Defense

The Mavericks struggled defensively on Friday, giving up 134 points to the Cavaliers. Dallas allowed at least 31 points in every quarter, including 37 in the 2nd. Cleveland shot 53% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Cavaliers hit 15 threes at a 37% clip. The Mavericks sent Cleveland to the line 20 times, where they made 15 free throws. Dallas recorded 32 defensive rebounds, allowed 10 offensive boards, and finished with 3 steals and 4 blocks.

Mavericks vs Grizzlies Trends

  • Through their last three road games, Dallas has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 107 points per game.
  • In their last three games at home, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 121 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Dallas has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Memphis has an ATS mark of 8-2 while going 8-2 straight up.

Mavericks vs Grizzlies Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Grizzlies to win, and have the projected score sitting at 106-87. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Grizzlies at -5.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 232 and our model has the Mavericks and Grizzlies finishing with a combined 193 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.