Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 11/17/2024

The Dallas Mavericks (6-7) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (11-2) on Sunday, November 17th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on KFAA. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Mavericks vs Thunder

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

Dallas improved to 6-7 on the season with a 110-93 win over the Spurs on Saturday. The Mavericks, who were favored by 13.5 points, covered the spread with the victory. The game’s total score of 203 points fell well short of the 229-point over/under line.

After the Spurs went on a 10-0 run to break a 19-19 tie, Dallas responded by outscoring San Antonio 32-23 in the 2nd quarter and 38-18 in the 3rd. The Mavericks entered the 4th quarter with a commanding 93-69 lead, allowing them to coast to the win despite being outscored 24-17 in the final period.

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

Oklahoma City improved to 11-2 on the season with a 99-83 win over the Suns on Friday. Playing at home, the Thunder were favored by 8 points and covered the spread. The game’s total score of 182 points fell well short of the 227.5-point line.

A 12-0 run early in the game helped the Thunder jump out to a 28-10 lead. After a slight dip in the 2nd quarter, they regained control by outscoring Phoenix 35-24 in the 3rd. Despite a 4th quarter push by the Suns, Oklahoma City’s big lead allowed them to cruise to victory.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

In their win over the Spurs, the Mavericks shot 46.8% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 8 threes at a 25.8% clip. Daniel Gafford and Kyrie Irving led the way with 22 points each, with Gafford shooting 90% from the field.

Irving added 11 points in the 3rd quarter, while Gafford contributed 12 in the same period. Luka Doncic finished with 16 points, making 3 threes at 33.3% efficiency.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

In their win over the Suns, the Thunder managed just 99 points, shooting 39.6% from the field and 25% from three, hitting 10 threes overall. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 28 points, including 15 in the 3rd quarter.

Luguentz Dort added 15 points, and Jalen Williams contributed 14. Dort and Gilgeous-Alexander each made 2 threes, shooting 28.6% from beyond the arc.

Mavericks Team Defense

Defensively, the Mavericks were impressive, holding the Spurs to just 93 points on Saturday. They gave up 28 points in the 1st quarter but tightened up in the 2nd, allowing 23. Their best defensive effort came in the 3rd quarter, where they held San Antonio to just 18 points before giving up 24 in the 4th.

The Mavericks limited the Spurs to 31% shooting from the field, including 27% from beyond the arc, where San Antonio made 11 threes. Dallas also recorded 9 steals and 7 blocks in the game.

Thunder Team Defense

The Mavericks put on a defensive clinic against the Spurs, holding them to just 93 points on 31% shooting. Dallas was especially tough in the 3rd quarter, where they allowed only 18 points. The Mavericks also did a great job defending the three, as the Spurs made just 11 threes on 27% shooting.

Dallas sent San Antonio to the line 30 times, where they made 26 free throws. The Mavericks grabbed 40 defensive rebounds while giving up 13 offensive boards. They also contributed 9 steals and 7 blocks in the win.

Mavericks vs Thunder Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, Dallas has an ATS mark of 0-2-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-3 while averaging 116 points per game.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Oklahoma City has an ATS mark of 8-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 7-3 while averaging 110 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Dallas has an ATS mark of 5-3-2 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Thunder have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.

Mavericks vs Thunder Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +5.5, the Mavericks is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 230.5, and our model predicts the Mavericks and Thunder to score a combined 238 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.