Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 4/16/2025

The Dallas Mavericks (39-43) travel to face off against the Sacramento Kings (40-42) on Wednesday, April 16th. This game will be played at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento and televised on ESPN. The Kings are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mavericks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mavericks. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Mavericks vs Kings

dallas mavericks nba

The Mavericks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Mavericks ended their season with a 132-97 loss to the Grizzlies on Sunday, dropping their record to 39-43. Dallas, favored by 2 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game hit 229, just over the O/U line of 228.

Memphis took control early with a 13-0 run, stretching the score from 19-16 to 29-19. Dallas couldn’t recover, as they were outscored 37-21 in the 3rd quarter, leaving them trailing 104-75 going into the 4th.

The Kings Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Kings improved to 40-42 on the season with a 109-98 win over the Suns on Sunday. Sacramento was favored by 14 points at home but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total of 207 points fell short of the 222.5-point line.

Sacramento jumped out to a 33-25 lead after the 1st quarter, but the Suns fought back in the 2nd, outscoring the Kings 29-24. The Kings responded in the 3rd, holding Phoenix to 21 points while scoring 29. The teams were even in the 4th, each scoring 23 points.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

In their 132-97 loss to the Grizzlies, the Mavericks struggled offensively, shooting just 43.7% from the field and hitting only 5 three-pointers at a 17.9% clip. Daniel Gafford led Dallas with 20 points, 11 of which came in the opening quarter, while Jaden Hardy added 17 points, scoring 9 in the final period.

Max Christie contributed 14 points, with 4 points in each of the first three quarters. Both Naji Marshall and Kai Jones finished with 11 points, with Jones scoring 5 in the 3rd quarter and 4 more in the 4th.

Kings Offense Breakdown

sacramento kings

Jonas Valančiūnas led the Kings to a win over the Suns with 22 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 90.9% from the field. Domantas Sabonis added 20 points, 12 rebounds, and 6 assists, hitting 4 threes at 100% efficiency.

The Kings shot 52.3% overall and 41.2% from three, making 14 threes. Valančiūnas scored 10 points in the 1st quarter and 8 in the 4th, while Zach LaVine also had 10 of his 16 points in the opening period.

Mavericks Team Defense

The Mavericks struggled defensively on Sunday, giving up 132 points to the Grizzlies. Memphis put up 38 points in the 1st quarter and 37 in the 3rd, with Dallas allowing at least 28 points in every quarter.

Dallas allowed Memphis to shoot 50% from the field and 36% from three, with the Grizzlies hitting 15 threes. The Mavericks sent Memphis to the line 15 times, where they made 13 free throws. Dallas recorded 28 defensive rebounds but gave up 19 offensive boards, along with 6 steals and 3 blocks.

Kings Team Defense

The Mavericks struggled defensively on Sunday, giving up 132 points to the Grizzlies. Memphis put up 38 points in the 1st quarter and 37 in the 3rd, with Dallas allowing 29 in the 2nd and 28 in the 4th.

Dallas allowed Memphis to shoot 50% from the field, including 36% from three, where the Grizzlies hit 15 threes. The Mavericks sent Memphis to the line 15 times, where they made 13 free throws. Dallas finished with 28 defensive rebounds, gave up 19 offensive boards, and recorded 6 steals and 3 blocks.

Mavericks vs Kings Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 102 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Through their last ten home games, Sacramento has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 111 points per game.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 4-6.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Kings have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.

Mavericks vs Kings Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +5, we have the Mavericks as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 215.5, and our model predicts the Mavericks and Kings to score a combined 262 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.