The Miami Heat (15-13) travel to face off against the Atlanta Hawks (16-15) on Saturday, December 28th. This game will be played at State Farm Arena in Atlanta and televised on NBA. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 3:00 ET.

Heat vs Hawks

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat improved to 15-13 on the season with an 89-88 win over the Magic on Thursday. Miami, who entered the game as +1 point underdogs, covered the spread with the victory. The game’s total points fell well short of the 208.5 O/U line, finishing 31.5 points under.

Orlando went on a 14-0 run early, but Miami chipped away at the lead. After trailing 71-61 going into the 4th quarter, the Heat surged back, outscoring the Magic 28-17 in the final period to complete the comeback.

The Hawks Are Coming Off A Win

Atlanta moved to 16-15 on the season after a 141-133 win over the Bulls on Thursday. The Hawks were favored by 5 points and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 274 points went well over the 241.5-point line.

Chicago took control early with a 10-0 run, but Atlanta turned things around in the 4th quarter. After trailing 108-91, the Hawks dominated the final period, outscoring the Bulls 50-25 to seal the win.

Heat Offense Breakdown

The Heat managed just 89 points in their win over the Magic, shooting 40.8% from the field. However, they connected on 15 threes, hitting 50% from beyond the arc.

Tyler Herro led Miami with 20 points, including 8 in the 1st quarter and 7 in the 4th. Alec Burks added 17 points, scoring 11 in the final period.

Hawks Offense Breakdown

The Hawks put up 141 points in their win over the Bulls, shooting 51.7% from the field and hitting 17 threes at a 37.8% clip. Jalen Johnson led the way with 30 points and 15 rebounds, shooting 68.8%, while Trae Young added 27 points and 13 assists, knocking down 4 threes.

Johnson scored 11 points in the 4th quarter, but it was Young who really shined late, pouring in 16 points in the final period. De’Andre Hunter also added 8 of his 25 points in the 4th, and Zaccharie Risacher contributed 8 of his 16 points in the final frame.

Heat Team Defense

Despite a rough start, the Heat’s defense tightened up after the 1st quarter, allowing just 57 points over the final three quarters to secure an 89-88 win over the Magic. Miami gave up 31 points in the 1st but responded by holding Orlando to 21 points in the 2nd, 19 in the 3rd, and just 17 in the 4th.

The Heat were particularly effective at defending the three-point line, where they held the Magic to just 5 made threes on 17% shooting. Miami also recorded 14 steals and 6 blocks in the game.

Hawks Team Defense

Despite a tough 1st quarter where they allowed 31 points, the Heat tightened up defensively, giving up just 57 points over the final three quarters to secure an 89-88 win over the Magic. Miami was particularly effective in the 4th, holding Orlando to 17 points.

The Heat did an excellent job defending the three, allowing just 5 made threes on 17% shooting. They also recorded 14 steals and 6 blocks in the game.

Heat vs Hawks Trends

• In their last five games away from home, the Heat have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 106 points per game in this stretch.
• Across the Hawks last five home games, the team averaged 112 points per game while allowing 110. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 3-2 straight-up.
• Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
• Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Hawks have an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 against the spread.

Heat vs Hawks Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Hawks to win, and have the projected score sitting at 127-112. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Hawks at -2.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 225 and given that our model is projecting 239 points between the teams, we like the over.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.