Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 2/24/2025

The Miami Heat (26-29) travel to face off against the Atlanta Hawks (26-31) on Monday, February 24th. This game will be played at State Farm Arena in Atlanta and televised on FDSS. Both the Heat and Hawks will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30 ET.

Heat vs Hawks

miami heat nba

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Heat fell to 26-29 on the season after a 120-113 road loss to the Bucks on Sunday. Miami, who entered the game as +4.5 point underdogs, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 233, surpassing the O/U line of 221 by 12 points.

Miami started strong, leading 37-23 after the 1st quarter, but the Bucks chipped away, winning the 2nd and 3rd quarters. Heading into the 4th with a 93-85 lead, the Heat were outscored 35-20, including a pivotal 12-0 run by Milwaukee that shifted the score from 95-90 to 102-95.

The Hawks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Hawks fell to 26-31 on the season after a 148-143 loss to the Pistons on Sunday. Atlanta, who were +2 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread at home.

Detroit led 33-30 after the 1st quarter and 43-38 in the 2nd. The Hawks were down 112-103 going into the 4th but outscored the Pistons 40-36 in the final quarter. The game’s total of 291 points went well over the 239-point line.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Tyler Herro’s 40-point, 11-assist performance wasn’t enough for the Heat in their 120-113 loss to the Bucks. Herro hit 3 threes at 25% shooting, finishing with a 44.4% field goal percentage. Bam Adebayo added 24 points, shooting 62.5% from the field and making both of his three-point attempts, while Andrew Wiggins contributed 20 points despite shooting just 35%.

Miami struggled from beyond the arc, hitting only 9 threes at a 29% clip, though they shot 46.6% overall. Herro scored 12 points in the 4th quarter, while Adebayo added 4, and Wiggins contributed 4 of his 9 2nd-quarter points in the final period.

Hawks Offense Breakdown

atlanta hawks

Trae Young’s 38 points and 13 assists led the Hawks in their 148-143 loss to the Pistons, with Young hitting 6 threes at 40% efficiency. Georges Niang added 27 points, knocking down 7 threes at a 50% clip, while Dyson Daniels contributed 24 points, hitting all 3 of his three-point attempts.

As a team, the Hawks connected on 21 threes, shooting 46.7% from deep and 50% overall from the field. Young scored 15 points in the 4th quarter, while Daniels added 7 of his 24 points in the final period.

Heat Team Defense

Defensively, the Heat started strong, giving up just 23 points in the 1st quarter, but they struggled in the 2nd and 4th, allowing 32 and 35 points, respectively, in a 120-113 loss to the Bucks. Miami allowed Milwaukee to shoot 51% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Heat gave up 14 threes on 35% shooting. They sent the Bucks to the line 22 times, where Milwaukee converted 18 free throws. Miami recorded 36 defensive rebounds, allowing 8 offensive boards, and finished with 3 steals and 3 blocks.

Hawks Team Defense

The Heat’s defense started strong, giving up just 23 points in the 1st quarter, but they couldn’t maintain that level, allowing 32 points in the 2nd quarter and 35 in the 4th, leading to a 120-113 loss to the Bucks. Milwaukee shot 51% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Heat allowed the Bucks to hit 14 threes on 35% shooting. Miami sent Milwaukee to the line 22 times, where they made 18 free throws. The Heat gave up 8 offensive rebounds and recorded 3 steals and 3 blocks.

Heat vs Hawks Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Heat offense has averaged 106 points per game while allowing an average of 113. Miami posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 1-3-1 ATS.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Atlanta has an ATS record of 5-0 while averaging 128 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Atlanta has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 6-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.

Heat vs Hawks Prediction

Our bet is on the Heat for a win, and we project the score to be 127-106. Additionally, we expect them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to wager on the Heat with the spread at -1.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 227.5, and our model predicts the Heat and Hawks to score a combined 233 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.