Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction 4/2/2025

The Miami Heat (34-41) travel to face off against the Boston Celtics (56-19) on Wednesday, April 2nd. This game will be played at TD Garden in Boston and televised on NBCS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Heat vs Celtics

miami heat nba

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

Miami improved to 34-41 on the season with a 120-94 win over the Wizards on Monday. The Heat were -9.5 point favorites and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 214 points just missed the O/U line of 214.5.

Miami’s 15-0 run early in the game helped them take control, and they led 36-23 after the 1st quarter. Although the Wizards won the 2nd quarter 24-22, the Heat outscored them 34-28 in the 3rd and 28-19 in the 4th to seal the win.

The Celtics Are Coming Off A Win

The Celtics improved to 56-19 this season with a 117-103 win over the Grizzlies on Monday. Boston, favored by four points, covered the spread with the victory. The game’s total score of 220 points fell short of the 236-point over/under line.

After a slow start, Boston turned things around with a 41-29 second quarter. The Grizzlies made a 12-0 run, but the Celtics responded by holding Memphis to just 18 points in the 4th quarter while scoring 25 of their own.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Bam Adebayo led the Heat with 28 points, 12 rebounds, and 5 assists in their win over the Wizards, scoring 16 of his points in the first quarter. Tyler Herro added 27 points, including 12 in the 3rd quarter, while Terry Rozier and Pelle Larsson each contributed 15 points, with Rozier scoring 12 in the final period.

Miami shot 50.5% from the field, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 9 threes at a 28.1% rate. Adebayo made 2 threes, shooting 40% from deep, and Rozier connected on 3 threes, shooting 42.9%.

Celtics Offense Breakdown

boston celtics

Al Horford knocked down 6 threes, shooting 46.2% from deep, and led the Celtics with 26 points and 8 rebounds in their win over the Grizzlies. Jayson Tatum added 25 points and 14 rebounds, though he struggled from three, hitting just 18.2%.

Boston made 21 threes as a team, shooting 33.9% from beyond the arc and 40.6% overall. Kristaps Porzingis contributed 19 points, while Jrue Holiday scored 11 of his 18 points in the 3rd quarter.

Heat Team Defense

The Heat put on a defensive clinic against the Wizards, holding them to just 94 points on 39% shooting. Miami’s defense was consistent throughout, giving up 23 points in the 1st quarter, 24 in the 2nd, 28 in the 3rd, and just 19 in the 4th.

From beyond the arc, the Heat limited Washington to 13 threes on 30% shooting. They also sent the Wizards to the line 18 times, where they made 13 free throws. Miami controlled the boards with 47 defensive rebounds, allowing only 5 offensive boards, while also recording 12 steals.

Celtics Team Defense

The Heat put together a strong defensive performance, holding the Wizards to 94 points on 39% shooting. Miami gave up 23 points in the 1st quarter and 24 in the 2nd, before allowing 28 in the 3rd. They finished strong, limiting Washington to 19 points in the 4th quarter.

From beyond the arc, the Heat held the Wizards to 30% shooting, with Washington making 13 threes. Miami also sent the Wizards to the line 18 times, where they made 13 free throws. The Heat controlled the boards with 47 defensive rebounds, allowing just 5 offensive boards, while also recording 12 steals.

Heat vs Celtics Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Heat offense has averaged 106 points per game while allowing an average of 110. Miami posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 4-5-1 ATS.
  • The Celtics are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 3-0.
  • As the betting favorite, the Celtics have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Boston posted a straight up mark of 9-1 in these matchups.

Heat vs Celtics Prediction

Not only do we have the Celtics winning this one by a score of 140-99, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Celtics at -11.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 213.5 and given that our model is projecting 239 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.