Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 2/13/2025

The Miami Heat (25-27) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (29-26) on Thursday, February 13th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on KFAA. The Mavericks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Heat vs Mavericks

miami heat nba

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Heat fell to 25-27 on the season after a 115-101 road loss to the Thunder on Wednesday. Miami entered the game as +14 point underdogs, and the final score resulted in a push. The total points for the game were 216, falling short of the 222.5-point line.

Miami led 93-83 going into the 4th quarter but scored only 8 points in the final period. The Thunder went on a 24-0 run, taking the score from 93-86 to 110-93, and outscored the Heat 32-8 in the 4th quarter.

The Mavericks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Dallas improved to 29-26 with a 111-107 win over the Warriors on Wednesday. The Mavericks were +8 point underdogs but covered the spread with the win. The game’s total of 218 points fell short of the O/U line of 234.5.

An 11-0 run early in the game helped Dallas take control, turning a 7-6 lead into 18-6. The Mavericks led 83-78 going into the 4th quarter and held off a late push from the Warriors, who outscored them 29-28 in the final period.

Heat Offense Breakdown

In their 115-101 loss to the Thunder, the Heat shot 45.6% from the field, with a three-point percentage of 32.4%, connecting on 11 threes. Bam Adebayo led the way, hitting 3 threes at 75% efficiency, finishing with 27 points, 15 rebounds, and 4 assists.

Tyler Herro and Davion Mitchell each added 14 points, with Mitchell shooting 60% from the field. Adebayo scored 13 of his points in the 1st quarter, while Nikola Jović contributed 6 of his 11 points in the 3rd.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

Kyrie Irving’s 42-point performance, including 7 threes at a 70% clip, led the Mavericks to a win over the Warriors. He scored 13 points in the 3rd quarter and 14 more in the 4th. Overall, Dallas hit 15 threes, shooting 41.7% from deep and 48.3% from the field.

Max Christie and Klay Thompson each added 17 points, with Christie scoring 8 in the final period. Brandon Williams also contributed 8 of his 12 points in the 2nd quarter.

Heat Team Defense

Defensively, the Heat started strong, giving up just 23 points in the 1st quarter, but they allowed 31 and 32 points in the 3rd and 4th quarters, respectively, leading to a 115-101 loss to the Thunder. Overall, Miami allowed Oklahoma City to shoot 48% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Heat gave up 15 threes on 38% shooting. They also sent the Thunder to the line 20 times, where they made 14 free throws. Miami finished with 35 defensive rebounds, allowed 11 offensive boards, and recorded 7 steals and 5 blocks.

Mavericks Team Defense

Despite a solid start defensively, the Heat couldn’t hold off the Thunder, giving up 115 points in the loss. Miami allowed 31 points in the 3rd quarter and 32 in the 4th, contributing to their defensive struggles. The Thunder shot 48% from the field.

From three-point range, Oklahoma City hit 15 threes on 38% shooting. The Heat sent the Thunder to the line 20 times, where they made 14 free throws. Miami recorded 7 steals and 5 blocks in the game.

Heat vs Mavericks Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Heat have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-1-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 98 points per game in these contests.
  • Across their five previous home games, Dallas has an ATS mark of 2-2-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 116 points per game.
  • The last ten games that Dallas was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 4-6 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 1-4.

Heat vs Mavericks Prediction

The Heat is our selection to secure the victory, with a projected score of 140-82. We also like them to cover the spread, so we suggest betting on the Heat at -2.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 221.5, and our model predicts the Heat and Mavericks to score a combined 222 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.