Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 11/8/2024

The Miami Heat (3-4) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (5-3) on Friday, November 8th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ALT. The Nuggets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Heat vs Nuggets

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The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Heat fell to 3-4 on the season after a 115-112 loss to the Suns on Wednesday. Miami, who were +5.5 point underdogs, kept it close, losing by just three points. The total score of 227 points went over the pre-game line of 222.5.

Miami led 87-84 going into the 4th quarter after outscoring Phoenix 33-29 in the 2nd quarter and tying 29-29 in the 3rd. However, the Suns took control in the final period, outscoring the Heat 31-25 to seal the win.

The Nuggets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Nuggets improved to 5-3 on the season with a 124-122 win over the Thunder on Wednesday. Denver, playing at home, entered the game as +7 point underdogs and not only won but covered the spread. The total points of 246.5 exceeded the O/U line of 224.5 by 21.5 points.

Denver’s comeback was fueled by a 12-0 run, turning an 87-79 deficit into a 91-87 lead. They dominated the 3rd quarter, outscoring the Thunder 40-29, and edged out Oklahoma City 29-27 in the 4th after entering the final period tied at 95.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Tyler Herro led the Heat with 28 points and 6 assists in their 115-112 loss to the Suns, hitting 5 threes at a 55.6% clip. He shot 60% from the field overall. Haywood Highsmith added 19 points, shooting 87.5% from the floor and hitting 2 of 3 from deep.

As a team, Miami made 13 threes, shooting 38.2% from beyond the arc and 43.5% overall. Herro scored 10 points in the 3rd quarter, while Highsmith contributed 8 points in the 4th.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

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Russell Westbrook led the Nuggets with 29 points and 6 assists in their win over the Thunder, shooting 66.7% from the field and hitting 3 threes at a 75% rate. Michael Porter Jr. and Christian Braun each added 24 points, with Porter knocking down 6 threes at 60% and Braun hitting 4 threes at 50%.

Denver made 16 threes as a team, shooting 42.1% from beyond the arc, while finishing with an overall field goal percentage of 47.2%. Westbrook scored 10 points in the 2nd quarter, while Porter poured in 15 of his points in the 3rd.

Heat Team Defense

Defensively, the Heat gave up 115 points to the Suns, allowing 26 in the 1st quarter and 31 in the 4th. Phoenix scored 29 points in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters.

Miami struggled to contain the Suns, who shot 50% from the field, including 41% from three-point range with 18 threes. The Heat sent Phoenix to the line 18 times, where they made 13 free throws. Miami finished with 12 steals and 3 blocks.

Nuggets Team Defense

Defensively, the Heat couldn’t contain the Suns, giving up 115 points on 50% shooting. Miami allowed 26 points in the 1st quarter, 29 in both the 2nd and 3rd, and 31 in the 4th.

The Heat struggled to defend the three, with Phoenix hitting 18 threes at a 41% clip. Miami sent the Suns to the line 18 times, where they made 13 free throws. The Heat recorded 12 steals and 3 blocks.

Heat vs Nuggets Trends

  • Miami has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 114 points per game while allowing 106. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Nuggets offense has averaged 114 points per game while allowing an average of 121. Denver posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Heat have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-5.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Denver has an ATS mark of 2-8 while going 5-5 straight up.

Heat vs Nuggets Prediction

The Heat come in as the underdog at +3.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 221.5, and our model projects the Heat and Nuggets to reach a combined total of 249 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.