Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction 12/16/2024

The Miami Heat (13-10) travel to face off against the Detroit Pistons (10-16) on Monday, December 16th. This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit and televised on FDSD. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pistons are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pistons. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Heat vs Pistons

miami heat nba

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat improved to 13-10 this season with a 114-104 win over the Raptors on Thursday. Miami was favored by 10.5 points but didn’t cover the spread, and the total score of 218 points fell short of the 224.5-point over/under line.

After the Raptors went on a 14-0 run early, Miami responded by winning the 2nd and 3rd quarters, outscoring Toronto 66-49. The Heat entered the 4th quarter with an 89-76 lead, and although the Raptors outscored them 28-25 in the final period, Miami held on for the win.

The Pistons Are Coming Off A Win

The Pistons dropped to 10-16 on the season after a 123-99 road loss to the Celtics on Thursday. Detroit entered the game as +11.5 point underdogs but failed to cover the spread. The total score of 222 points narrowly missed the over/under line of 224.5.

Boston took control early, going on a 10-0 run to stretch their lead from 38-33 to 48-33. Detroit was down 93-68 heading into the 4th quarter but managed to outscore the Celtics 31-30 in the final frame.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Tyler Herro led the Heat to a win over the Raptors, scoring 23 points and hitting 4 threes at 57.1% efficiency. He shot 69.2% from the field overall. Bam Adebayo contributed 21 points and 16 rebounds, with 13 of his points coming in the 4th quarter.

Miami hit 13 threes at a 40.6% clip, shooting 48.2% from the field overall. Nikola Jovic was perfect from deep, hitting 2 threes and scoring 11 of his 14 points in the 2nd quarter.

Pistons Offense Breakdown

detroit pistons

The Pistons struggled offensively in their 99-point effort against the Celtics, shooting just 42.9% from the field. Their three-point shooting was particularly poor, hitting only 7 threes at an 18.9% clip.

Ron Holland II led the way with 26 points, shooting 78.6% from the field and adding 20 points in the 4th quarter. Cade Cunningham contributed 18 points, 8 rebounds, and 8 assists.

Heat Team Defense

The Heat put together a solid defensive performance, holding the Raptors to 104 points on Thursday. Miami gave up 27 points in the 1st quarter but tightened up in the 2nd, allowing just 24 points. They continued their strong defensive effort in the 3rd, giving up 25 points, and allowed 28 in the 4th.

Miami limited Toronto’s three-point shooting, holding them to 11 made threes on 34% shooting. The Raptors went to the line 15 times, making 11 free throws. The Heat also controlled the boards, grabbing 41 defensive rebounds while allowing 9 offensive boards. They finished with 4 steals and 3 blocks.

Pistons Team Defense

The Heat put together a solid defensive performance on Thursday, holding the Raptors to 104 points in their win. Miami gave up 27 points in the 1st quarter but tightened up in the 2nd, allowing just 24 points. They continued their strong defense in the 3rd, giving up 25 points, and closed out the game by allowing 28 points in the 4th.

Overall, the Heat held the Raptors to 44% shooting from the field and 34% from three-point range, with Toronto making 11 threes. The Raptors also went 11/15 from the free-throw line. Miami grabbed 41 defensive rebounds while allowing 9 offensive boards, and they added 4 steals and 3 blocks.

Heat vs Pistons Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 110 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
  • Across their last five home contests, Detroit has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 116 points per game.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Pistons have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
  • As the betting favorite, the Heat have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.

Heat vs Pistons Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Heat, with a final score of 121-111, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Heat at -5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 218, and our model predicts the Heat and Pistons to score a combined 232 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.