The Miami Heat (13-10) travel to face off against the Detroit Pistons (10-16) on Monday, December 16th. This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit and televised on FDSD. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pistons are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pistons. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Heat vs Pistons

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

The Heat improved to 13-10 after a 114-104 win over the Raptors on Thursday. Miami was favored by 10.5 points at home but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 218, falling short of the 224.5 O/U line.

Toronto went on a 14-0 run early, but Miami responded by outscoring them 35-24 in the 2nd quarter. The Heat extended their lead to 89-76 after the 3rd, and despite losing the 4th quarter 28-25, they held on for the win.

The Pistons Are Coming Off A Win

Detroit’s season record dropped to 10-16 after a 123-99 road loss to the Celtics on Thursday. The Pistons entered the game as +11.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread, losing by 24 points. The total score of 222 points narrowly missed the O/U line of 224.5.

Boston’s 10-0 run early in the game extended their lead from 38-33 to 48-33. Detroit struggled to keep up, trailing 93-68 going into the 4th quarter. They outscored Boston 31-30 in the final period, but it was too late to make a significant impact.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Tyler Herro’s 23 points and 4 threes on 57.1% shooting from deep helped the Heat to a win over the Raptors, with Miami hitting 13 threes at a 40.6% clip. Herro shot 69.2% from the field overall, while Nikola Jovic was even more efficient, making 80% of his shots and hitting both of his three-point attempts, finishing with 14 points.

Bam Adebayo contributed 21 points and 16 rebounds, scoring 13 of his points in the 4th quarter. Herro added 9 points in the 3rd, and Jovic scored 11 of his 14 points in the 2nd quarter.

Pistons Offense Breakdown

The Pistons struggled offensively in their 123-99 loss to the Celtics, shooting just 42.9% from the field. Their three-point shooting was particularly poor, as they connected on only 7 threes at an 18.9% rate.

Ron Holland led Detroit with 26 points, scoring 20 of those in the 4th quarter. Cade Cunningham added 18 points, with 8 coming in the 2nd quarter.

Heat Team Defense

Defensively, the Heat held the Raptors to 104 points on Thursday, giving up 27 points in the 1st quarter, 24 in the 2nd, 25 in the 3rd, and 28 in the 4th. Miami limited Toronto to 44% shooting from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Heat allowed 11 made threes on 34% shooting. The Raptors went 11/15 from the free-throw line. Miami finished with 41 defensive rebounds, gave up 9 offensive boards, and recorded 4 steals and 3 blocks.

Pistons Team Defense

The Heat put together a solid defensive performance, holding the Raptors to 104 points on 44% shooting. Miami gave up 27 points in the 1st quarter but tightened up in the 2nd, allowing just 24 points. They kept the pressure on in the 3rd, giving up 25 points, and finished with a 28-point 4th quarter.

From beyond the arc, the Heat limited Toronto to 11 threes on 34% shooting. The Raptors also went 11/15 from the free-throw line. Miami controlled the boards with 41 defensive rebounds while allowing 9 offensive boards. They added 4 steals and 3 blocks.

Heat vs Pistons Trends

• Through their last three road games, Miami has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 101 points per game.
• When looking at their past five home matchups, Detroit has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 116 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
• As the betting underdog, the Pistons have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Detroit posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
• In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 5-5.

Heat vs Pistons Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Heat to secure the win, with an expected final score of 121-111. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 218, and our model predicts the Heat and Pistons to score a combined 232 points. We recommend betting on the over.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.