The Miami Heat (17-17) travel to face off against the Golden State Warriors (18-17) on Tuesday, January 7th. This game will be played at Chase Center in San Francisco and televised on NBCS. Both the Heat and Warriors will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00 ET.
Heat vs Warriors
The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Miami fell to 17-17 on the season after a 123-118 road loss to the Kings on Monday. The Heat entered the game as +4 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 241 points was well over the pre-game line of 217.5.
After an 11-0 run, Miami took the lead from 76-68 to 79-76, but they couldn’t hold on. Despite outscoring Sacramento 31-18 in the 3rd quarter, the Heat were outscored 34-24 in the 4th.
The Warriors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
The Warriors fell to 18-17 on the season after a 129-99 home loss to the Kings on Sunday. Golden State, favored by 3.5 points, not only lost but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 228 narrowly exceeded the pre-game line of 225.
Golden State’s 11-0 run brought them within a point early, but Sacramento pulled away, leading 105-75 by the 4th quarter. The Kings outscored the Warriors 36-21 in the 1st quarter and 39-30 in the 2nd, with both teams scoring 24 points in the final period.
Heat Offense Breakdown
In their 123-118 loss to the Kings, the Heat shot just 42.2% from the field and struggled from beyond the arc, hitting only 11 threes at a 26.2% clip. Tyler Herro led Miami with 26 points, connecting on 4 threes at 40% efficiency.
Herro scored 12 of his points in the 1st quarter, while Terry Rozier added 9 of his 18 points in the 3rd. Bam Adebayo also contributed 18 points, with 3 coming in the 2nd overtime period.
Warriors Offense Breakdown
In the Warriors’ 99-point effort against the Kings, Stephen Curry led the way with 26 points, hitting 4 threes at a 50% rate and shooting 66.7% overall. Andrew Wiggins added 18 points, while Moses Moody contributed 13, knocking down 3 threes at 50% efficiency.
Golden State made 12 threes, shooting 34.3% from deep and 45.7% overall. Curry scored 15 of his points in the 2nd quarter, while Moody added 7 points in the 4th.
Heat Team Defense
The Heat put together a strong defensive effort in the 1st and 3rd quarters, but a 34-point 4th quarter from the Kings led to a 123-118 loss. Overall, Miami held Sacramento to 41% shooting from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Heat limited the Kings to 13 made threes on 34% shooting. Miami also recorded 14 steals and 6 blocks in the game.
Warriors Team Defense
Defensively, the Heat were strong in the 1st and 3rd quarters but struggled in the 4th, giving up 34 points in their 123-118 loss to the Kings. Overall, they allowed 123 points despite holding Sacramento to 41% shooting, including 34% from beyond the arc, where the Kings hit 13 threes.
Miami sent Sacramento to the line 26 times, where they converted 20 free throws. The Heat grabbed 41 defensive rebounds but allowed 18 offensive boards. They also contributed 14 steals and 6 blocked shots.
Heat vs Warriors Trends
- Across the Heat last ten road games, the team averaged 107 points per game while allowing 111. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-8, while going 3-7 straight-up.
- Golden State has a 1-4 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 100 points per game while allowing 111. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Heat have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.
- Golden State has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
Heat vs Warriors Prediction
The Heat come in as the underdog at +9.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 218, and our model predicts the Heat and Warriors to score a combined 215 points. We recommend betting on the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:January 7, 2025 Heat, Warriors