Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 11/15/2024

The Miami Heat (4-6) travel to face off against the Indiana Pacers (5-6) on Friday, November 15th. This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and televised on FDSI. Both the Heat and Pacers will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Heat vs Pacers

miami heat nba

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Miami’s season record dropped to 4-6 after a 123-121 road loss to the Pistons on Tuesday. The Heat, who were favored by 1.5 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 244.5 exceeded the O/U line of 214.5 by 29.5 points.

Detroit jumped out to a 12-0 lead early, and Miami spent the rest of the game trying to catch up. They outscored the Pistons 30-25 in the 2nd quarter but fell behind 91-82 after the 3rd. The Heat made a push in the 4th, outscoring the Pistons 29-20, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.

The Pacers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After a 94-90 loss to the Magic on Wednesday, the Pacers are now 5-6 this season. Indiana, who were +1 point underdogs, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total score of 184 points was well below the O/U line of 224.

Indiana started strong, leading 27-18 after the 1st quarter. However, Orlando’s 10-0 run shifted the momentum, and the Magic outscored the Pacers 26-18 in the 4th quarter to seal the win.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Tyler Herro knocked down 10 threes, shooting 58.8% from deep, and finished with 40 points and 8 assists in the Heat’s 123-121 loss to the Pistons. Herro scored 18 points in the 4th quarter and added 2 more in overtime.

Miami made 17 threes as a team, shooting 37.8% from beyond the arc and 46.5% overall. Bam Adebayo contributed 20 points, including 4 in overtime, while Jaime Jaquez added 14 points on 66.7% shooting.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

indiana pacers

In their 94-90 loss to the Magic, the Pacers struggled offensively, shooting just 38.1% from the field and hitting only 10 threes at a 33.3% clip. Pascal Siakam led the way with 25 points, 7 rebounds, and 4 made threes, shooting 72.7% overall and 66.7% from deep.

Bennedict Mathurin added 23 points and 12 rebounds, scoring 12 points in the 4th quarter. Myles Turner contributed 11 points, 8 of which came in the opening period.

Heat Team Defense

Defensively, the Heat had a strong 4th quarter, allowing just 20 points, but they still gave up 123 points in a loss to the Pistons. Miami’s best defensive stretch came in the 2nd quarter, where they allowed 25 points. Overall, the Heat held Detroit to 13 made threes on 36% shooting from beyond the arc.

Miami sent the Pistons to the free-throw line 28 times, where they converted 24 attempts. The Heat recorded 31 defensive rebounds but allowed 15 offensive boards. They also added 14 steals and 3 blocks in the game.

Pacers Team Defense

Despite a strong defensive effort in the 4th quarter, where they held the Pistons to just 20 points, the Heat couldn’t overcome their defensive lapses in the 1st and 3rd quarters, allowing 32 and 34 points, respectively, in a 123-121 loss. Overall, Miami gave up 123 points on 46% shooting from the field.

The Heat did a solid job defending the three, with Detroit hitting 13 threes at a 36% clip. Miami also recorded 14 steals and 3 blocks in the game.

Heat vs Pacers Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 107 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
  • Across the Pacers last five home games, the team averaged 108 points per game while allowing 113. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 1-4 straight-up.
  • The last ten games that Miami was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • The last three games that Indiana was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.

Heat vs Pacers Prediction

The Heat come in as the underdog at +4, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 228, and our model projects the Heat and Pacers to reach a combined total of 238 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.