The Miami Heat (25-26) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (43-9) on Wednesday, February 12th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on FDSO. The Thunder are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Heat vs Thunder

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Miami fell to 25-26 on the season after a 103-85 loss to the Celtics on Monday. Playing at home, the Heat were +8.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 188 points was well below the O/U line of 211.5.

After leading 24-18 in the 1st quarter, the Heat couldn’t recover from an 18-0 run by Boston, which took the score from 24-16 to 42-16. Miami was outscored 34-19 in the 2nd quarter and 36-22 in the 3rd, leaving them trailing 88-65 going into the 4th. They held Boston to 15 points in the final quarter but only managed 20 points themselves.

The Thunder Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Thunder improved to 43-9 on the season with a dominant 137-101 win over the Pelicans on Monday. Playing at home, Oklahoma City entered the game as heavy favorites, laying 17.5 points, and covered the spread with ease. The total score of 238 points narrowly exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 233.5.

Oklahoma City took control early, going on an 11-0 run to stretch their lead from 41-26 to 52-26. They outscored the Pelicans 33-20 in the 1st quarter and 39-30 in the 2nd. Heading into the 4th with a 102-78 lead, the Thunder closed out the game by outscoring New Orleans 35-23 in the final period.

Heat Offense Breakdown

In their 103-85 loss to the Celtics, the Heat struggled offensively, shooting just 33.7% from the field and 24.4% from three-point range. They made 11 threes, with Alec Burks hitting 3 of them at a 60% clip.

Bam Adebayo led Miami with 22 points and 12 rebounds, scoring 9 points in the 1st quarter. Burks added 8 of his 13 points in the 3rd quarter, while Andrew Wiggins finished with 11 points, contributing 6 in the opening period.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

The Thunder’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their win over the Pelicans, putting up 137 points on 51.6% shooting from the field. They connected on 27 threes, shooting 49.1% from beyond the arc.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 31 points, including 14 in the 3rd quarter. Aaron Wiggins added 24 points, scoring 10 in the 4th, while Jalen Williams contributed 10 of his 16 points in the 3rd.

Heat Team Defense

Despite a strong defensive effort in the 1st and 4th quarters, the Heat couldn’t overcome their struggles in the 2nd and 3rd, where they allowed 34 and 36 points, respectively, in a 103-85 loss to the Celtics. Miami sent Boston to the line just 8 times, with the Celtics converting all their free throws.

From beyond the arc, the Heat gave up 17 threes, though Boston shot just 32% from deep. Miami controlled the boards, allowing only 3 offensive rebounds, but managed just 2 steals and 2 blocks in the game.

Thunder Team Defense

Despite a strong defensive effort in the 1st and 4th quarters, the Heat couldn’t contain the Celtics in the 2nd and 3rd, giving up 34 and 36 points, respectively, in a 103-85 loss. Miami allowed Boston to shoot 45% from the field.

The Heat sent the Celtics to the line just 8 times, where they made all their free throws. Miami also limited Boston’s offensive rebounding, allowing only 3. The Heat finished with 2 steals and 2 blocks.

Heat vs Thunder Trends

• Through their last ten road contests, the Heat offense has averaged 104 points per game while allowing an average of 107. Miami posted an overall record of 5-5 while going 3-7 ATS.
• In their last three games at home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team averaged 117 points per game in this stretch.
• As the betting underdog, the Heat have an ATS mark of just 3-7 in their last ten games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
• Oklahoma City has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Heat vs Thunder Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +13.5, the Heat is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 219, and our model projects the Heat and Thunder to reach a combined total of 249 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.