Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 11/6/2024

The Miami Heat (3-3) travel to face off against the Phoenix Suns (6-1) on Wednesday, November 6th. This game will be played at Footprint Center in Phoenix and televised on AZFa. The Suns are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Heat vs Suns

miami heat nba

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Miami dropped to 3-3 on the season following a 111-110 home loss to the Kings on Monday. The Heat, who were favored by 1 point, failed to cover the spread. The combined score of 221 points fell just short of the 226-point O/U line.

After leading 61-48 at halftime, Miami was outscored 37-17 in the 3rd quarter, including a 14-0 run by the Kings. The Heat rallied in the 4th, outscoring Sacramento 32-26, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.

The Suns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Suns improved to 6-1 on the season with a 118-116 win over the 76ers on Monday. Phoenix, playing at home, didn’t cover the -7.5 spread, but the total score of 234 points went over the 222.5 line.

After a 28-26 lead in the 1st quarter, the teams traded 37 points each in the 2nd. The 76ers edged out the Suns 30-29 in the 3rd, but Phoenix held them to 23 points in the 4th while scoring 24 to seal the win.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro each scored 27 points for the Heat in their 111-110 loss to the Kings, with Butler adding 15 of his points in the 4th quarter. Herro hit 5 threes, shooting 45.5% from deep, and scored 13 points in the 1st quarter.

Miami made 15 threes as a team, shooting 41.7% from beyond the arc, though their overall field goal percentage was 43.5%. Pelle Larsson added 12 of his 13 points in the 2nd quarter.

Suns Offense Breakdown

phoenix suns

Kevin Durant’s 35-point performance, including 15 in the 4th quarter, led the Suns to a win over the 76ers. Durant shot 70% from the field, as did Bradley Beal, who added 17 points. Royce O’Neale also contributed 15 points, hitting 3 threes at a 75% rate.

The Suns shot 51.2% overall, but struggled from three, making 11 threes at 34.4%. Durant and Beal each hit 2 threes, with Beal shooting 60% from deep.

Heat Team Defense

Despite a solid defensive effort in the 1st and 2nd quarters, the Heat gave up 37 points in the 3rd, leading to a 111-110 loss to the Kings. Miami allowed Sacramento to shoot 51% from the field.

The Heat did well in limiting the Kings’ three-point shooting, giving up just 10 threes on 37% shooting. Miami also sent Sacramento to the line 15 times, where they made 13 free throws. Defensively, the Heat recorded 9 steals and 6 blocks.

Suns Team Defense

Defensively, the Heat struggled in the 3rd quarter, giving up 37 points, which contributed to their 111-110 loss to the Kings. Overall, they allowed Sacramento to shoot 51% from the field. Miami did manage to limit the Kings’ three-point shooting, giving up just 10 threes on 37% shooting.

Miami sent the Kings to the line 15 times, where they converted 13 free throws. The Heat finished with 28 defensive rebounds but allowed 11 offensive boards. They also recorded 9 steals and 6 blocks in the game.

Heat vs Suns Trends

  • Miami has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 105 points per game while allowing 107. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Across the Suns last ten home games, the team averaged 112 points per game while allowing 114. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-6, while going 6-4 straight-up.
  • As the betting underdog, the Heat have an ATS mark of just 3-7 in their last ten games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 1-9 in these matchups.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Suns have a strong record of 5-0. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-4.

Heat vs Suns Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Suns to secure the win, with an expected final score of 145-130. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -5.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 222.5 and our model has the Heat and Suns finishing with a combined 275 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.