The Miami Heat (17-16) travel to face off against the Sacramento Kings (17-19) on Monday, January 6th. This game will be played at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento and televised on NBCS. The Kings are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.
Heat vs Kings
The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
The Heat fell to 17-16 on the season after a 136-100 loss to the Jazz on Saturday. Miami, favored by 8.5 points, not only lost but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points reached 236, surpassing the O/U line of 224 by 12 points.
After a 22-22 tie in the 1st quarter, the Jazz took control, outscoring Miami 40-19 in the 2nd quarter. By the start of the 4th, the Heat trailed 98-66. Miami went on a 10-0 run to close the gap to 104-79, but the Jazz responded by outscoring them 38-34 in the final period.
The Kings Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
The Kings improved to 17-19 this season with a dominant 129-99 road win over the Warriors on Sunday. Sacramento, who entered the game as +3.5 point underdogs, covered the spread with ease. The total score of 228 points narrowly went over the pre-game line of 225.
Sacramento took control early, leading 36-21 after the 1st quarter. Although the Warriors went on an 11-0 run to close the gap to 40-39, the Kings responded by outscoring Golden State 39-30 in the 2nd quarter. Sacramento pushed their lead to 105-75 by the end of the 3rd, and the teams played to a 24-24 tie in the 4th.
Heat Offense Breakdown
In Saturday’s loss to the Jazz, the Heat managed just 100 points, shooting 43.8% from the field and struggling from beyond the arc, hitting only 9 threes at a 25.7% rate. Nikola Jovic led Miami with 17 points, 7 of which came in the opening quarter, and he connected on 3 threes at a 60% clip.
Duncan Robinson added 16 points, scoring 9 in the 3rd quarter, while Tyler Herro contributed 15 points despite shooting just 33.3%. Jaime Jaquez and Kel’el Ware each scored 9 points in the 4th quarter, finishing with 13 and 12 points, respectively.
Kings Offense Breakdown
Malik Monk led the Kings to a 129-99 victory over the Warriors, scoring 26 points and dishing out 12 assists, while hitting 5 threes at a 62.5% clip. Domantas Sabonis added 22 points and 13 rebounds, shooting 76.9% from the field, and Kevin Huerter contributed 16 points, knocking down 4 threes at 66.7% efficiency.
The Kings connected on 19 threes, shooting 44.2% from deep and 51.7% overall. Monk scored 10 points in the 3rd quarter, while Sabonis added 10 in the 2nd.
Heat Team Defense
Despite a strong defensive start, the Heat gave up 40 points in the 2nd quarter and couldn’t recover, allowing 136 points to the Jazz. Utah shot 52% from the field, including 19 threes at a 41% clip.
Miami sent the Jazz to the line 16 times, where they hit 13 free throws. The Heat recorded 9 steals and 7 blocks but allowed 16 offensive rebounds.
Kings Team Defense
The Heat started strong defensively, giving up just 22 points in the 1st quarter, but things unraveled from there. They allowed 40 points in the 2nd quarter and 36 in the 3rd, before a 38-point 4th quarter sealed their fate in a 136-100 loss to the Jazz.
Overall, the Heat allowed Utah to shoot 52% from the field, including 41% from three-point range, where the Jazz hit 19 threes. Miami sent Utah to the line 16 times, where they made 13 free throws. The Heat finished with 9 steals and 7 blocks.
Heat vs Kings Trends
- In their last ten games away from home, the Heat have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 3-7 vs. the spread. The team averaged 107 points per game in this stretch.
- In their last ten games at home, the Kings have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 114 points per game in these contests.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 5-5 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Kings have gone 2-8 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.
Heat vs Kings Prediction
The Heat come in as the underdog at +3.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 224 and our model has the Heat and Kings finishing with a combined 227 points. Our pick is to take the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:January 6, 2025 Heat, Kings