The Miami Heat (23-23) travel to face off against the San Antonio Spurs (21-24) on Saturday, February 1st. This game will be played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio and televised on FDSS. The Spurs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.
Heat vs Spurs
The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Miami dropped to 23-23 on the season after a 126-106 home loss to the Cavaliers on Wednesday. The Heat entered the game as +6 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game exceeded the O/U line of 225, finishing at 232.
Miami fell behind early, trailing 31-21 after the 1st quarter and 59-41 at halftime. They made a push in the 3rd quarter, outscoring the Cavs 43-35, and went on a 10-0 run to cut the deficit to 94-88. However, Cleveland pulled away in the 4th, outscoring Miami 32-22 to seal the win.
The Spurs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
The Spurs improved to 21-24 on the season with a dominant 144-118 win over the Bucks on Friday. San Antonio, who were +2.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread. The total points for the game were 262, surpassing the O/U line of 236.5 by 25.5 points.
San Antonio jumped out to a 15-2 lead with a 12-0 run early in the game. After a close first half, they took control by outscoring Milwaukee 45-30 in the 3rd quarter and 29-17 in the 4th.
Heat Offense Breakdown
In their 126-106 loss to the Cavaliers, the Heat shot 47% from the field and hit 15 threes at a 34.9% clip. Tyler Herro and Terry Rozier both scored 22 points, with Herro adding 11 in the 3rd quarter.
Bam Adebayo contributed 21 points and 9 rebounds, while Haywood Highsmith scored 10 of his 12 points in the 3rd quarter. Herro made 4 threes, shooting 40% from deep.
Spurs Offense Breakdown
In their win over the Bucks, the Spurs put up 144 points, shooting 49% from the field and hitting 24 threes at a 48% clip. Victor Wembanyama led the way with 30 points and 14 rebounds, connecting on 5 threes, while Keldon Johnson added 24 points, making 4 threes at 80% efficiency.
Stephon Castle contributed 20 points, 11 of which came in the 3rd quarter. Wembanyama also had a strong 3rd, scoring 14 points. Chris Paul added 7 of his 12 points in the 3rd as well.
Heat Team Defense
Defensively, the Heat struggled against the Cavaliers, giving up 126 points on 54% shooting. They allowed 31 points in the 1st quarter and 35 in the 3rd, with Cleveland scoring at least 28 points in each period.
Miami did well defending the three, holding the Cavaliers to 31% shooting with 13 made threes. The Heat sent Cleveland to the line just six times, where they made five free throws.
Spurs Team Defense
Defensively, the Heat struggled against the Cavaliers, giving up 126 points on 54% shooting. Cleveland scored 31 points in the 1st quarter and 35 in the 3rd, with Miami unable to slow them down in the 4th, allowing 32 points.
From beyond the arc, the Heat held the Cavaliers to 31% shooting, with Cleveland making 13 threes. Miami sent Cleveland to the line just six times, where they made five free throws. The Heat finished with 4 steals and 4 blocks.
Heat vs Spurs Trends
- Through their last five road contests, the Heat offense has averaged 105 points per game while allowing an average of 109. Miami posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.
- Across the Spurs last five home games, the team averaged 117 points per game while allowing 115. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
- The last ten games that Miami was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 3-7 straight up.
- San Antonio has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
Heat vs Spurs Prediction
The Spurs is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 139-111. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Spurs at -1.5.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 224 and given that our model is projecting 250 points between the teams, we like the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:February 1, 2025 Heat, Spurs