Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 3/4/2025

The Milwaukee Bucks (34-25) travel to face off against the Atlanta Hawks (28-33) on Tuesday, March 4th. This game will be played at State Farm Arena in Atlanta and televised on FDSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Bucks vs Hawks

milwaukee bucks nba

The Bucks Are Coming Off A Win

With a 132-117 win over the Mavericks on Saturday, the Bucks improved to 34-25 for the season. Milwaukee, favored by 3 points, covered the spread with a +15 margin. The total score of 249 points exceeded the over/under line of 229 by 20 points.

After trailing 36-31 in the 1st quarter, the Bucks took control with a 10-0 run and outscored Dallas 40-27 in the 2nd quarter. They extended their lead by holding the Mavericks to 16 points in the 3rd quarter, entering the 4th with a 101-79 lead before Dallas outscored them 38-31 in the final period.

The Hawks Are Coming Off A Win

The Hawks improved to 28-33 on the season with a 132-130 win over the Grizzlies on Monday. Atlanta, who entered the game as +8 point underdogs, not only won but also covered the spread. The total points for the game hit 262, surpassing the pre-game line of 250.

After a slow start, where the Grizzlies went on a 10-0 run, Atlanta responded by outscoring Memphis 42-31 in the 2nd quarter. Although the Hawks fell behind again in the 3rd quarter, they rallied in the 4th, holding the Grizzlies to 23 points while scoring 31 to seal the win.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

Giannis Antetokounmpo’s near triple-double led the Bucks to a 132-117 win over the Mavericks, as he finished with 29 points, 9 rebounds, and 9 assists, shooting 64.3% from the field. Damian Lillard added 28 points, scoring 11 in the 3rd quarter, while Gary Trent Jr. contributed 20 points, hitting 4 threes at 33.3% efficiency.

Milwaukee shot 50.6% from the field, making 13 threes at a 33.3% clip. Giannis scored 8 points in both the 2nd and 4th quarters, while Lillard added 8 in the 2nd and 5 more in the final period.

Hawks Offense Breakdown

atlanta hawks

The Hawks shot 57.3% from the field and 46.4% from three-point range, hitting 13 threes in their 132-130 win over the Grizzlies. Zaccharie Risacher led the way with 27 points, making 5 threes at a 71.4% clip, while Caris LeVert added 25 points, including 16 in the 4th quarter.

Onyeka Okongwu contributed 16 points and 12 rebounds, and Dyson Daniels chipped in 14 points, with 8 coming in the opening quarter. Trae Young finished with 12 points, scoring 6 in the 3rd quarter, and Garrison Mathews added 11 points, with 8 in the 2nd quarter.

Bucks Team Defense

The Bucks’ defense tightened up in the 3rd quarter, allowing just 16 points, which helped them secure the win despite giving up 117 points to the Mavericks. Milwaukee allowed 36 points in the 1st quarter and 38 in the 4th but held Dallas to 27 points in the 2nd.

Milwaukee did an excellent job defending the three, holding the Mavericks to 11 made threes on 27% shooting. The Bucks also recorded 38 defensive rebounds, gave up 8 offensive boards, and finished with 6 steals and 6 blocks.

Hawks Team Defense

The Bucks gave up 117 points to the Mavericks but had a strong defensive showing in the 3rd quarter, allowing just 16 points. They also held Dallas to 27 points in the 2nd quarter. However, the 4th quarter was a struggle, with Milwaukee giving up 38 points.

Milwaukee’s defense was effective against the three, limiting Dallas to 11 made threes on 27% shooting. The Bucks also recorded 38 defensive rebounds, allowed 8 offensive boards, and finished with 6 steals and 6 blocks.

Bucks vs Hawks Trends

  • Across the Bucks last three road games, the team averaged 111 points per game while allowing 106. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 2-1 straight-up.
  • In their last five home games, Atlanta has averaged 125 points per game while allowing 125. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Atlanta has an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Bucks have a straight up record of 6-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.

Bucks vs Hawks Prediction

The Bucks is our selection to secure the victory, with a projected score of 129-107. We also like them to cover the spread, so we suggest betting on the Bucks at -6.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 240.5 and our model has the Bucks and Hawks finishing with a combined 236 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.