Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 3/1/2025

The Milwaukee Bucks (33-25) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (32-28) on Saturday, March 1st. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on KFAA. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Bucks vs Mavericks

milwaukee bucks nba

The Bucks Are Coming Off A Win

The Bucks improved to 33-25 on the season with a 121-112 win over the Nuggets on Thursday. Playing at home, Milwaukee entered the game as +3.5 point underdogs and covered the spread. The total points of 233 fell short of the O/U line of 241.5.

After a 30-30 tie in the 1st quarter, the Bucks fell behind by 3 points in the 2nd. They turned things around in the 3rd, outscoring Denver 30-24, and went into the 4th with an 84-81 lead. Milwaukee closed out the game strong, winning the final quarter 37-31.

The Mavericks Are Coming Off A Win

Dallas improved to 32-28 on the season with a 103-96 win over Charlotte on Thursday. Despite being favored by 10.5 points, the Mavericks didn’t cover the spread, winning by seven. The game’s total score of 199 points fell well short of the 219-point over/under line.

Charlotte went on a 14-0 run early, but Dallas responded by tightening up defensively, holding the Hornets to 18 points in the third quarter. The Mavericks entered the fourth quarter with a 73-67 lead and edged out Charlotte 30-29 in the final period to secure the win.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

In their win over the Nuggets, the Bucks shot 46.7% from the field, with a strong 41.2% from beyond the arc, hitting 14 threes. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 28 points and 19 rebounds, shooting 47.8% from the field.

Brook Lopez added 22 points, and Damian Lillard contributed 19 points, hitting 3 threes at 50% efficiency. Giannis scored 9 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters, while Gary Trent added 7 of his 15 points in the final period.

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

In their win over the Hornets, the Mavericks shot just 41.2% from the field and 30.6% from three-point range, hitting 11 threes. Kyrie Irving led the way with 25 points, 9 rebounds, and 5 assists, despite shooting 22.2% from deep.

Moses Brown added 20 points and 11 rebounds, shooting 64.3%, while Klay Thompson contributed 18 points, hitting 4 threes at 57.1%. Irving and Thompson both scored 9 points in the 4th quarter.

Bucks Team Defense

Defensively, the Bucks held the Nuggets to 112 points on 44% shooting. Milwaukee gave up 30 points in the 1st quarter but tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 24 points. Denver scored 31 points in the 4th, but the Bucks still secured the win.

Milwaukee excelled at defending the three, holding Denver to 26% shooting with just 9 made threes. The Bucks sent the Nuggets to the line 11 times, where they hit 9 free throws. Milwaukee finished with 8 steals and 4 blocks.

Mavericks Team Defense

Defensively, the Bucks held the Nuggets to 112 points on Thursday, giving up 30 points in the 1st quarter and 31 in the 4th. Their best defensive effort came in the 3rd, where they allowed just 24 points.

Milwaukee limited Denver to 9 made threes on 26% shooting from deep. The Nuggets also went 9/11 from the free-throw line. The Bucks recorded 8 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

Bucks vs Mavericks Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging 105 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 109 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
  • Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Bucks have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-4.

Bucks vs Mavericks Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Bucks to secure the win, with an expected final score of 128-105. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -3.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 228.5 and given that our model is projecting 233 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.