Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction
PublishedMay 11, 2025,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:May 11, 2025 ,

NBA Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 5/11

The Oklahoma City Thunder will meet the Denver Nuggets on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at 3:30 PM. This is the 4th game of the Western Conference Semifinals in the NBA Playoffs. The Nuggets lead the series 2-1, and the game will take place at Ball Arena, airing on ABC.

Thunder vs. Nuggets Betting Prediction

  • Spread Prediction: Nuggets +6.5. The Nuggets have been strong as underdogs with a 6-3 ATS record in the postseason. They also lead the series, showing they can compete with the Thunder.
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 227.5. The Thunder’s postseason games have averaged a combined score of 227.71, slightly below the line. Both teams are on a 1-game under streak, indicating a trend towards lower scoring.

Team Trends

  • The Denver Nuggets lead the series 2-1 against the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Western Conference Semifinals.
  • The game will be held at Ball Arena on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at 3:30 PM and will be broadcast on ABC.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have an ATS record of 0-3-0 on the road during the 2025 postseason.
  • In the 2025 postseason, the Denver Nuggets have an ATS record of 6-4-0.
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder’s average combined score in the postseason is 227.71, while the average over/under line is 229.57.

Thunder vs Nuggets Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder are set to play against the Denver Nuggets in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Nuggets hold a 2-1 lead in this best-of-seven series. The game will be at Ball Arena, with a tip-off time of 3:30 PM, and it will be broadcast on ABC.

For the Thunder, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will lead the charge alongside Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren. Meanwhile, the Nuggets will look to Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokić to maintain their series advantage. Both teams aim to secure a key win in this pivotal playoff game.

Denver Nuggets: Home Court Edge

The Denver Nuggets are set to play their fourth game in the Western Conference Semifinals. They currently lead the series 2-1. This game will be held at Ball Arena, providing the Nuggets with the advantage of playing at home. With a postseason record of 6-4, the Nuggets have shown strong performances. They have already won two games in this series. Their home court has been a place where they have found success this season. The Nuggets will look to maintain their momentum in front of their fans. Playing at home could give them the boost they need to extend their series lead. The team’s focus will be on maintaining their form and securing another win.

Oklahoma City Thunder: Road Warriors Ready

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been strong on the road with a postseason away record of 2-1. Their regular season away record of 32-8 shows they play well in different venues. Head Coach Mark Daigneault will aim to guide his team to another road win. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the Thunder with 28 points per game in the postseason. His playmaking and scoring are key for the team. Jalen Williams also contributes with 22.6 points and 5.3 assists per game. Chet Holmgren has been a force in the paint, averaging 9.1 rebounds per game. His presence is vital for the Thunder’s defense. Isaiah Hartenstein adds depth with his rebounding and scoring abilities.

Final Betting Pick

The Nuggets have shown strength as underdogs with a 6-3 ATS record in the postseason. They are playing at home, where they have a solid 4-1 record in the playoffs. This gives them an edge to cover the +6.5 spread against the Thunder.

The Thunder’s games have averaged a combined score of 227.71, which is slightly below the line of 227.5. Both teams are on a 1-game under streak, suggesting a trend towards lower scoring. This makes the under 227.5 a reasonable pick for this game.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.