Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 2/28/2025

The New Orleans Pelicans (16-43) travel to face off against the Phoenix Suns (27-32) on Friday, February 28th. This game will be played at PHX Arena in Phoenix and televised on AZFa. The Pelicans are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Suns are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Suns. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Pelicans vs Suns

new orleans pelicans nba

The Pelicans Are Coming Off A Win

The Pelicans improved to 16-43 on the season with a 124-116 road win over the Suns on Thursday. New Orleans, who entered the game as +6.5 point underdogs, not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread. The game’s total of 240 points narrowly exceeded the over/under line of 237.

New Orleans went on a 17-0 run early, stretching the score from 33-30 to 47-33. After falling behind 91-88 going into the 4th quarter, the Pelicans outscored the Suns 36-25 in the final period to secure the win.

The Suns Are Coming Off A Win

The Suns fell to 27-32 on the season after a 124-116 home loss to the Pelicans on Thursday. Phoenix, favored by 6.5 points, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 240, just over the 237-point line.

A 17-0 run by the Pelicans early on put the Suns in a tough spot, but Phoenix battled back to take a 91-88 lead into the 4th quarter. However, the Pelicans dominated the final period, outscoring the Suns 36-25 to seal the win.

Pelicans Offense Breakdown

Zion Williamson’s triple-double, featuring 27 points, 11 assists, and 10 rebounds on 76.5% shooting, led the Pelicans to a 124-116 win over the Suns. He scored 12 points in the 4th quarter. CJ McCollum added 19 points, with 7 coming in the 3rd and 4th quarters, while Trey Murphy contributed 18 points, 14 of which came in the 1st quarter.

The Pelicans hit 17 threes, shooting 36.2% from deep and 48.1% overall. Murphy connected on 5 threes, and McCollum added 3. Karlo Matkovic scored 9 of his 17 points in the 3rd quarter, and Jose Alvarado chipped in 14 points, with 7 in the 2nd quarter.

Suns Offense Breakdown

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In the Suns’ 124-116 loss to the Pelicans, Devin Booker led the way with 36 points, 9 assists, and 7 rebounds, hitting 6 threes at a 37.5% clip. Kevin Durant added 28 points, connecting on 4 threes despite shooting just 30.8% from deep. Bol Bol contributed 15 points, making 3 threes at 50% efficiency.

Phoenix hit 20 threes as a team, shooting 37.7% from beyond the arc, while finishing with an overall field goal percentage of 46.8%. Booker scored 11 points in the 4th quarter, while Durant added 11 in the 3rd.

Pelicans Team Defense

Even though the Pelicans gave up 116 points to the Suns on Thursday, they tightened up defensively in the 4th quarter, allowing just 25 points to help secure the win. Overall, New Orleans allowed Phoenix to shoot 46% from the field.

The Pelicans struggled to defend the three, as the Suns hit 20 threes at a 37% clip. New Orleans also gave up 14 offensive rebounds but limited Phoenix to just 10 free throw attempts.

Suns Team Defense

Defensively, the Pelicans gave up 116 points to the Suns but tightened up in the 4th quarter, allowing just 25 points to help secure the win. Overall, they allowed 30 points in the 1st quarter, 32 in the 2nd, and 29 in the 3rd. The Suns shot 46% from the field.

The Pelicans struggled to defend the three, as the Suns hit 20 threes at a 37% clip. New Orleans sent Phoenix to the line 10 times, where they made 8 free throws. The Pelicans grabbed 34 defensive rebounds while allowing 14 offensive boards, and they finished with 3 steals and 6 blocks.

Pelicans vs Suns Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Pelicans offense has averaged 109 points per game while allowing an average of 121. New Orleans posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Although Phoenix has a straight up record of 1-4 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 119 points per game in these games.
  • Through their last three games as the underdog, the Pelicans have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
  • As the betting favorite, the Suns have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. Phoenix posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.

Pelicans vs Suns Prediction

The Pelicans come in as the underdog at +7, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 236.5 and our model has the Pelicans and Suns finishing with a combined 271 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.