Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction 5/6/2025

The Indiana Pacers (50-32) travel to face off against the Cleveland Cavaliers (64-18) on Tuesday, May 6th. This game will be played at Rocket Arena in Cleveland and televised on TNT. The Pacers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cavaliers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cavaliers. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Pacers vs Cavaliers

indiana pacers nba

The Pacers Are Coming Off A Win

The Pacers improved to 50-32 this season with a 121-112 win over the Cavaliers on Sunday. Indiana, who were +8.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread. The total points for the game were 233, just over the 229-point line.

Indiana took control early with a 10-0 run, turning a 28-25 deficit into a 35-28 lead. Though Cleveland fought back, winning the 2nd and 3rd quarters, the Pacers entered the 4th up 92-90 and closed out the game by outscoring the Cavs 29-22 in the final period.

The Cavaliers Are Coming Off A Win

The Cavaliers fell to 64-18 on the season after a 121-112 loss to the Pacers on Sunday. Cleveland, who were -8.5 point favorites at home, not only lost straight up but also failed to cover the spread. The total score of 233 points narrowly exceeded the O/U line of 229.

Indiana took control early with a 10-0 run, pushing the score from 28-25 to 35-28. Cleveland battled back, winning the 2nd and 3rd quarters, but the Pacers pulled away in the 4th, outscoring the Cavs 29-22.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

In their win over the Cavaliers, the Pacers shot 53% from the field and knocked down 19 threes at a 52.8% clip. Andrew Nembhard led the way with 23 points, hitting 5 threes at 83.3%, while Tyrese Haliburton added 22 points and 13 assists.

Aaron Nesmith contributed 17 points, with 11 coming in the 3rd quarter. Haliburton scored 9 points in the 4th, while Nembhard added 8 in the final period.

Cavaliers Offense Breakdown

cleveland cavaliers

In their loss to the Pacers, the Cavaliers struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 9 threes at a 23.7% clip. Overall, they shot 45.9% from the field.

Donovan Mitchell led the way with 33 points, including 12 in the 3rd quarter. Ty Jerome added 21 points, with 8 coming in the 4th, and Evan Mobley contributed 20 points and 10 rebounds.

Pacers Team Defense

Even with a tough 2nd and 3rd quarter, the Pacers’ defense stepped up when it mattered, allowing just 22 points in the 4th to help secure a win over the Cavaliers. They held Cleveland to 112 points on 45% shooting.

Indiana did an excellent job defending the three, limiting the Cavs to 9 made threes on 23% shooting. The Pacers also sent Cleveland to the line 18 times, where they made 13 free throws. Defensively, Indiana recorded 6 steals and 9 blocks.

Cavaliers Team Defense

Despite giving up 33 points in the 2nd quarter, the Pacers tightened up defensively in the 4th, allowing just 22 points to help secure the win. Overall, they held the Cavaliers to 112 points on 45% shooting.

Indiana’s defense was particularly effective from beyond the arc, where they limited Cleveland to just 9 made threes on 23% shooting. The Pacers also sent the Cavaliers to the line 18 times, where they hit 13 free throws.

Pacers vs Cavaliers Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Indiana has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 120 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Cleveland has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 123 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Pacers have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Cavaliers have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Cavaliers to secure the win, with an expected final score of 146-129. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -9.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 229.5 and our model has the Pacers and Cavaliers finishing with a combined 275 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.