Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 3/29/2025

The Indiana Pacers (43-30) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (61-12) on Saturday, March 29th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on FDSO. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Pacers vs Thunder

indiana pacers nba

The Pacers Are Coming Off A Win

The Pacers improved to 43-30 on the season with a dominant 162-109 win over the Wizards on Thursday. Indiana, favored by 12 points, covered the spread with ease, winning by 53 points. The game’s total of 271 points went well over the pre-game line of 234.5.

Indiana took control early with a 12-0 run, extending their lead from 23-20 to 32-23. They continued to pull away, winning each quarter decisively, including a 37-21 advantage in the 4th quarter.

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

With a 125-104 win over the Grizzlies on Thursday, the Thunder improved to 61-12 this season. Oklahoma City, who were -11 point favorites, covered the spread at home. The game’s total points of 229 fell short of the 237-point O/U line.

A key moment in the game was the Thunder’s 17-0 run, which took the score from 59-58 to 75-59. Heading into the 4th quarter with a narrow 91-89 lead, Oklahoma City clamped down defensively, holding Memphis to just 15 points while scoring 34 of their own.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

The Pacers put up 162 points in their win over the Wizards, shooting 64.1% from the field and hitting 27 threes at a 57.4% clip. Tyrese Haliburton led the way with 29 points, knocking down 7 threes at 70% shooting from deep.

Myles Turner added 17 points, making 4 threes at 66.7%, while Jarace Walker contributed 16 points, also hitting 4 threes at 80%. Haliburton scored 14 points in the 1st quarter and added 10 more in the 3rd.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder to a win over the Grizzlies, scoring 37 points on 60% shooting, with 12 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters. Jalen Williams added 20 points, while Isaiah Hartenstein contributed 18 points and 11 rebounds.

Oklahoma City shot 48.9% from the field, connecting on 13 threes at a 41.9% rate. Hartenstein and Williams both scored 8 points in the 4th quarter.

Pacers Team Defense

The Pacers gave up 109 points to the Wizards on Thursday, allowing 31 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 2nd. They tightened up in the 2nd half, giving up 27 points in the 3rd and just 21 in the 4th.

Defensively, Indiana held Washington to 44% shooting, including 36% from three, where the Wizards made 11 threes. The Pacers also sent the Wizards to the line 26 times, where they hit 22 free throws. Indiana finished with 8 steals and 2 blocks.

Thunder Team Defense

Despite giving up 31 points in the 1st quarter, the Pacers tightened up defensively as the game went on, allowing just 21 points in the 4th to secure a 162-109 win over the Wizards. Indiana held Washington to 44% shooting from the field.

The Pacers limited the Wizards to 11 made threes on 36% shooting from beyond the arc. Indiana also recorded 37 defensive rebounds while allowing 12 offensive boards. They finished with 8 steals and 2 blocks.

Pacers vs Thunder Trends

  • Although Indiana has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 125 points per game in these games.
  • Across their last five home contests, Oklahoma City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 5-0. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0, while averaging 115 points per game.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Pacers have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
  • The Thunder have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Pacers vs Thunder Prediction

The Thunder is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 127-114. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Thunder at -10.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 237.5, and our model predicts the Pacers and Thunder to score a combined 241 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.