Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 4/28/2025

The Houston Rockets (52-30) travel to face off against the Golden State Warriors (48-34) on Monday, April 28th. This game will be played at Chase Center in San Francisco and televised on TNT. The Warriors are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockets. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Rockets vs Warriors

houston rockets nba

The Rockets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Rockets fell to 52-30 on the season after a 104-93 road loss to the Warriors on Saturday. Houston entered the game as +2 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 197 points fell short of the 205.5-point O/U line.

Houston led 22-18 after the 1st quarter, but the Warriors edged them out in the 2nd and 3rd quarters. The Rockets trailed 71-69 heading into the 4th, where they were outscored 35-22, sealing the loss.

The Warriors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Warriors improved to 48-34 on the season with a 104-93 win over the Rockets on Saturday. Golden State, favored by 2 points, covered the spread with the victory. The total points for the game were 197, falling short of the 205.5-point line.

After trailing 22-18 after the 1st quarter, the Warriors edged the Rockets 28-27 in the 2nd and 23-22 in the 3rd. Golden State took control in the 4th, outscoring Houston 35-22 to seal the win.

Rockets Offense Breakdown

In their 104-93 loss to the Warriors, the Rockets shot just 39.5% from the field, though they hit 39.3% of their threes, making 11 from deep. Fred VanVleet led the way with 17 points, 13 of which came in the 1st quarter, but he shot only 35.7% overall.

Alperen Sengün added 15 points and 11 rebounds, scoring 8 points in the 3rd quarter. Dillon Brooks contributed 13 points, hitting 3 threes at a 75% clip, with 8 of his points coming in the final period.

Warriors Offense Breakdown

golden state warriors

Stephen Curry led the Warriors to a win over the Rockets with 36 points, 9 assists, and 7 rebounds, shooting 52.2% from the field and hitting 5 threes at 38.5%. Buddy Hield also made 5 threes, finishing with 17 points, while Gary Payton II added 16 points, shooting 77.8% and hitting 2 threes at 66.7%.

Golden State made 14 threes as a team, shooting 31.1% from beyond the arc and 43.3% overall. Curry scored 13 points in the 2nd quarter and 12 in the 3rd, while Payton contributed 11 of his 16 points in the 4th quarter.

Rockets Team Defense

Defensively, the Rockets had a strong 1st quarter, holding the Warriors to just 18 points, but they struggled in the 4th, giving up 35 points in a 104-93 loss. Overall, they allowed Golden State to shoot 43% from the field.

Houston did well defending the three, with the Warriors hitting 14 threes at a 31% rate. The Rockets sent Golden State to the line 15 times, where they made 12 free throws. Houston finished with 36 defensive rebounds, allowing 10 offensive boards, and added 5 steals and 6 blocks.

Warriors Team Defense

Defensively, the Rockets were strong in the 1st and 3rd quarters, but a 35-point 4th quarter from the Warriors proved costly in their 104-93 loss. Houston held Golden State to 43% shooting overall.

From beyond the arc, the Rockets limited the Warriors to 14 threes on 31% shooting. Houston sent Golden State to the line 15 times, where they made 12 free throws. The Rockets finished with 36 defensive rebounds, allowing 10 offensive boards, and recorded 5 steals and 6 blocks.

Rockets vs Warriors Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Rockets have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 106 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last three home games, Golden State has averaged 97 points per game while allowing 93. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Rockets have a straight up record of 1-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-4.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Warriors have a strong record of 3-2. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.

Rockets vs Warriors Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +3.5, we have the Rockets as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 198.5, and our model projects the Rockets and Warriors to reach a combined total of 267 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.