Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 1/23/2025

The Sacramento Kings (23-20) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (27-16) on Thursday, January 23rd. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on NBCS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Kings vs Nuggets

sacramento kings nba

The Kings Are Coming Off A Win

The Kings improved to 23-20 after a 123-117 win over the Warriors on Wednesday. Sacramento was favored by 7.5 points but didn’t cover the spread. The total score of 240 points went over the line of 231.5.

After trailing 65-48 at halftime, the Kings turned things around by outscoring the Warriors 37-20 in the 3rd quarter. They went on a 14-0 run to start the 4th, taking the score from 85-76 to 90-85, and finished the quarter by outscoring the Warriors 38-32.

The Nuggets Are Coming Off A Win

Denver improved to 27-16 on the season with a dominant 144-109 win over the 76ers on Tuesday. Playing at home, the Nuggets were favored by 11.5 points and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 253 points went over the line of 233.

Denver took control early, leading 35-27 after the 1st quarter and 42-40 in the 2nd. They pulled away in the 3rd, outscoring the 76ers 40-27, and finished strong by holding Philadelphia to 15 points in the 4th. A 12-0 run extended their lead from 124-104 to 136-104.

Kings Offense Breakdown

DeMar DeRozan’s 32-point performance, including 19 in the 3rd quarter, led the Kings to a win over the Warriors. DeRozan hit 3 threes at 50%, while Domantas Sabonis added 26 points and 18 rebounds, also shooting 50% from deep. Malik Monk contributed 20 points, with 9 coming in the 4th quarter.

The Kings shot 50.6% from the field, making 11 threes at 36.7%. De’Aaron Fox scored 8 of his 14 points in the final period, and Keegan Murray added 13 points in the win.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

denver nuggets

The Nuggets shot 61.2% from the field and hit 16 threes at a 51.6% clip in their 144-109 win over the 76ers. Nikola Jokic led the way with 27 points, 13 rebounds, and 10 assists, shooting 66.7% from the field and from three-point range.

Julian Strawther added 23 points, knocking down 5 threes at 55.6%, with 14 of his points coming in the 2nd quarter. Christian Braun contributed 20 points, shooting 72.7%, with 8 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters.

Kings Team Defense

Despite giving up 41 points in the 2nd quarter, the Kings tightened up defensively in the 3rd, allowing just 20 points to help secure the win. Overall, they allowed 117 points on 46% shooting from the field.

Sacramento struggled to defend the three, as the Warriors hit 22 threes at a 45% clip. The Kings sent Golden State to the line 13 times, where they made 9 free throws. Defensively, the Kings recorded 9 steals and 7 blocks.

Nuggets Team Defense

Defensively, the Kings had a strong 1st and 3rd quarter, allowing just 24 and 20 points, respectively, but they struggled in the 2nd, giving up 41 points. Overall, they allowed 117 points on 46% shooting from the Warriors.

Sacramento had trouble defending the three, as Golden State hit 22 threes at a 45% clip. The Kings sent the Warriors to the line 13 times, where they made 9 free throws. The Kings finished with 9 steals and 7 blocks.

Kings vs Nuggets Trends

  • Across their five previous road games, Sacramento has an ATS mark of 2-2-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-2 while averaging 120 points per game.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Denver has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 121 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • Through their last three games as the underdog, the Kings have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 3-0 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Kings vs Nuggets Prediction

The Kings come in as the underdog at +7.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 240.5 and our model has the Kings and Nuggets finishing with a combined 268 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.