Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat NBA Betting Prediction

NBA: Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Prediction 11/4/2024

The Sacramento Kings (3-3) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (3-2) on Monday, November 4th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on NBCS. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Kings are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Kings. Tip-off is set for 8:15 ET.

Kings vs Heat

sacramento kings nba

The Kings Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After a 131-128 loss to the Raptors on Saturday, the Kings are now 3-3 this season. Sacramento, favored by 9.5 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 259.5 exceeded the over/under line of 235.5.

Sacramento’s 12-0 run extended their lead from 111-100 to 123-100, but they couldn’t hold on. They fell behind early, trailing 37-29 after the 1st quarter, and despite a strong 2nd quarter, they entered the 4th down 96-86 before rallying to outscore Toronto 34-24 in the final period.

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Heat improved to 3-2 on the season with a 118-98 win over the Wizards on Saturday. Miami, who were -10 point favorites, covered the spread, while the game’s total of 216 points fell short of the 224.5-point line.

Miami jumped out to a 31-21 lead after the 1st quarter. Though Washington edged them 27-25 in the 2nd, the Heat responded by outscoring the Wizards 33-22 in the 3rd, taking an 89-70 lead into the final period. Miami closed things out with a 29-28 advantage in the 4th.

Kings Offense Breakdown

DeMar DeRozan led the Kings with 33 points in their 131-128 loss to the Raptors, scoring 10 points in the 4th quarter and adding 8 more in overtime. De’Aaron Fox contributed 14 of his 24 points in the final period, while Malik Monk added 21 points, with 10 coming in the 2nd quarter.

Sacramento shot 46% from the field but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 25% of their threes, making only 10 in the game. Monk connected on 3 threes, shooting 42.9% from deep, while DeRozan made 2, shooting 28.6% from long range.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

The Kings shot 46% from the field in their loss to the Raptors, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 25% of their threes, making only 10 in total. DeMar DeRozan led the way with 33 points, including 10 in the 4th quarter and 8 in overtime.

De’Aaron Fox added 24 points, with 14 coming in the 4th quarter. Malik Monk contributed 21 points, hitting 3 threes at a 42.9% clip.

Kings Team Defense

Defensively, the Kings struggled in the 1st quarter, giving up 37 points, but they tightened up in the 4th, allowing just 24. Overall, they allowed 131 points on 48% shooting from the field.

Sacramento had trouble defending the three, as the Raptors hit 17 threes at a 45% clip. The Kings also sent Toronto to the line 31 times, where they made 22 free throws. Sacramento finished with 16 steals and 3 blocks.

Heat Team Defense

Despite a strong defensive effort in the 4th quarter, where they allowed just 24 points, the Kings couldn’t contain the Raptors, giving up 131 points in the loss. Sacramento allowed Toronto to shoot 48% from the field, with the Raptors scoring 37 points in the 1st quarter.

The Kings struggled to defend the three-point line, as the Raptors hit 17 threes at a 45% clip. Sacramento also sent Toronto to the line 31 times, where they made 22 free throws. The Kings finished with 16 steals and 3 blocks.

Kings vs Heat Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Sacramento has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 111 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
  • Across the Heat last ten home games, the team averaged 109 points per game while allowing 108. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 8-2, while going 6-4 straight-up.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Kings have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-3.
  • Miami has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

Kings vs Heat Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Heat to win, and have the projected score sitting at 153-135. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Heat at -2.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 226.5, and our model projects the Kings and Heat to reach a combined total of 288 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.