Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 2/8/2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder (41-9) travel to face off against the Memphis Grizzlies (35-16) on Saturday, February 8th. This game will be played at FedExForum in Memphis and televised on FDSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Thunder vs Grizzlies

oklahoma city thunder nba

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

Oklahoma City improved to 41-9 on the season with a 121-109 win over the Raptors on Friday. The Thunder were at home and favored by 18.5 points but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 230 narrowly went over the pre-game line of 229.

A key moment came when the Thunder went on a 10-0 run, stretching the score from 24-19 to 34-19. They led 90-76 going into the 4th quarter, but the Raptors outscored them 33-31 in the final period.

The Grizzlies Are Coming Off A Win

With a 138-107 win over the Raptors on Wednesday, the Grizzlies improved to 35-16 on the season. Memphis, who were -10.5 point favorites, covered the spread in the road win. The game’s total points of 245 exceeded the O/U line of 236 by 9 points.

After trailing 29-22 after the 1st quarter, the Grizzlies turned the game around with a key 11-0 run, stretching the score from 61-55 to 72-55. They dominated the 2nd half, outscoring Toronto 43-25 in the 3rd quarter and 42-23 in the 4th.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

In their win over the Raptors, the Thunder shot 51.2% from the field, despite hitting just 9 threes at a 29% clip. Jalen Williams led the way with 27 points, adding 10 in the 3rd quarter and 9 more in the 4th.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander contributed 25 points, with 11 in the 1st quarter and 12 in the 3rd. Aaron Wiggins added 10 of his 18 points in the 2nd quarter, while Isaiah Joe scored 8 of his 16 points in the 3rd.

Grizzlies Offense Breakdown

memphis grizzlies

The Grizzlies put up 138 points in their win over the Raptors, shooting 52.8% from the field and hitting 16 threes at a 42.1% clip. Jaren Jackson Jr. led the way with 32 points, knocking down 4 threes at 80% efficiency, while Ja Morant added 26 points and 3 made threes.

Jackson scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter and added 9 more in both the 3rd and 4th. Morant had a big 3rd quarter with 16 points, and GG Jackson contributed 11 of his 17 points in the final period.

Thunder Team Defense

Defensively, the Thunder were strong in the 1st and 2nd quarters, giving up just 25 and 22 points, respectively, in their win over the Raptors. They allowed 29 points in the 3rd and 33 in the 4th but still held Toronto to 109 points on 42% shooting.

Oklahoma City struggled to defend the three, with the Raptors hitting 19 threes at a 46% clip. The Thunder sent Toronto to the line 19 times, where they made 12 free throws. OKC finished with 33 defensive rebounds, allowed 14 offensive boards, and recorded 10 steals and 7 blocks.

Grizzlies Team Defense

The Thunder played strong defense in the 2nd quarter, allowing just 22 points, and held the Raptors to 109 points overall. Oklahoma City limited Toronto to 42% shooting from the field.

However, the Thunder struggled to defend the three-point line, where the Raptors hit 19 threes at a 46% clip. Oklahoma City sent Toronto to the line 19 times, where they made 12 free throws. The Thunder also recorded 10 steals and 7 blocks.

Thunder vs Grizzlies Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Thunder offense has averaged 108 points per game while allowing an average of 110. Oklahoma City posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 0-3 ATS.
  • Although Memphis has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 7-3. The team averaged 125 points per game in these games.
  • The Grizzlies have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Thunder have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction

The Grizzlies come in as the underdog at +2, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 242.5 and our model has the Thunder and Grizzlies finishing with a combined 296 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.